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S. Agata vs Pompei

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Puntoriere M.
66' Event
Abbate D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 game between S. Agata and Pompei finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
S. Agata
20%
Draws
56%
Pompei
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pompei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pompei come out ahead of S. Agata on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
S. Agata Clean Sheet 20%
Pompei Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Agata Pompei
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.3 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Pompei
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Pompei vs S. Agata
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Agata Compare

Top Goalscorer Abbate D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Pompei Compare

Top Goalscorer Puntoriere M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.34

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Agata 32 / 100
Pompei 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Agata Pompei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pompei Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Agata's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pompei let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

S. Agata has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pompei
0 Goals Scored 0.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Agata

(Home)
11 May
AS Acireale
2 : 2
S. Agata
04 May
Castrumfavara
0 : 2
S. Agata
27 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 3
Scafatese
17 Apr
Sancataldese
2 : 1
S. Agata
13 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 1
Pompei
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Pompei

(Away)
10 May
Sarnese
2 : 1
Pompei
03 May
Fidelis Andria
1 : 2
Pompei
26 Apr
Pompei
4 : 1
Virtus Francavilla
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1
Heraclea
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)