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S. Agata vs Rende

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Frisenna G.
74' Event
Alagna F.
77' Event
Cicirello G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 game between S. Agata and Rende finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward S. Agata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
S. Agata
30%
Draws
41%
Rende
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rende

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • S. Agata's 1.39 goals per match outpaces what Rende have produced (0.9).
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors S. Agata here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
S. Agata Clean Sheet 18%
Rende Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Agata Rende
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.39 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2022 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Rende
4:0
Oct 6, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Rende vs S. Agata
0:1
Jun 13, 2021 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Rende
2:1
Feb 3, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Rende vs S. Agata
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Agata Compare

Top Goalscorer Cicirello G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Frisenna G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Rende Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Agata 32 / 100
Rende 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Agata Rende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Agata scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Rende conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

S. Agata went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

S. Agata VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Agata

(Home)
11 May
AS Acireale
2 : 2
S. Agata
04 May
Castrumfavara
0 : 2
S. Agata
27 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 3
Scafatese
17 Apr
Sancataldese
2 : 1
S. Agata
13 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 1
Pompei
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Rende

(Away)
29 May
Castrovillari
0 : 0
Rende
22 May
Lamezia Terme
3 : 1
Rende
15 May
Rende
2 : 0
Real Normanna
08 May
Portici 1906
0 : 2
Rende
04 May
Rende
1 : 2
San Luca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gelbison 36 23 9 4 63:23 78
2 Cavese 36 23 8 5 58:21 77
3 AS Acireale 36 19 12 5 58:31 69
4 Lamezia Terme 36 20 9 7 58:35 69
5 S. Agata 36 16 12 8 47:31 60
6 Paterno 36 14 10 12 45:41 52
7 Cittanovese 36 16 4 16 48:56 52
8 Santa Maria Cilento 36 14 9 13 58:50 51
9 Licata 36 13 11 12 57:45 50
10 Real Normanna 36 13 10 13 36:34 49
11 Portici 1906 36 12 8 16 42:44 44
12 Trapani 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
13 San Luca 36 9 14 13 45:52 41
14 Sancataldese 36 11 7 18 34:60 40
15 ASD Giarre 36 9 12 15 33:42 39
16 Castrovillari 36 9 11 16 39:48 38
17 Rende 36 9 9 18 35:50 36
18 Troina 36 9 8 19 39:71 29
19 Biancavilla 36 3 5 28 25:83 14
20 FC Messina 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Out)