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S. Agata vs Sambiase

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Zerbo G.
49' Event
Ziello A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
S. Agata
30%
Draws
47%
Sambiase
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sambiase

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • S. Agata haven't matched Sambiase's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
S. Agata Clean Sheet 20%
Sambiase Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Agata Sambiase
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 14
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.3 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Sambiase
1:1
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Sambiase vs S. Agata
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Agata Compare

Top Goalscorer Ziello A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Sambiase Compare

Top Goalscorer Zerbo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Agata 32 / 100
Sambiase 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Agata Sambiase

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Agata scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Sambiase has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: S. Agata remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sambiase
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Agata

(Home)
11 May
AS Acireale
2 : 2
S. Agata
04 May
Castrumfavara
0 : 2
S. Agata
27 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 3
Scafatese
17 Apr
Sancataldese
2 : 1
S. Agata
13 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 1
Pompei
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Sambiase

(Away)
20 Sept
Milazzo
0 : 1
Sambiase
16 Sept
Sambiase
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
12 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 1
Sambiase
06 Sept
Sambiase
2 : 1
Gela
08 Aug
Salernitana
2 : 1
Sambiase
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)