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S. Agata vs Scafatese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Catalano G.
34' Event
Vacca R.
36' Event
Vacca R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 game between S. Agata and Scafatese finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Scafatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
S. Agata
35%
Draws
32%
Scafatese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • S. Agata haven't matched Scafatese's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans S. Agata's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
S. Agata Clean Sheet 14%
Scafatese Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Agata Scafatese
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 21
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.3 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Scafatese
1:3
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Scafatese vs S. Agata
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Agata Compare

Top Goalscorer Catalano G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Scafatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Vacca R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Di Paola M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Agata 39 / 100
Scafatese 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Agata Scafatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick S. Agata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Agata's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Scafatese let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: S. Agata stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Scafatese
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Agata

(Home)
11 May
AS Acireale
2 : 2
S. Agata
04 May
Castrumfavara
0 : 2
S. Agata
27 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 3
Scafatese
17 Apr
Sancataldese
2 : 1
S. Agata
13 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 1
Pompei
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Scafatese

(Away)
15 Sept
Scafatese
0 : 0
Monopoli
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2
Scafatese
06 Sept
Casertana
2 : 2
Scafatese
01 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 1
Scafatese
28 Aug
Scafatese
0 : 2
Picerno
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)