Sport Picks
S. Kostroma vs Arsenal Tula Prediction & H2H Stats
Russia
FNL 2025/2026 Arena Khimki, Khimki 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Azyavin I. In: Maksimov M.
Out: Azyavin I.
58'
58'
Sub
Gaydash M. In: Sappa D.
Out: Gaydash M.
63'
63'
Khubaev D.
AI Match Summary
The FNL 2025/2026 game between S. Kostroma and Arsenal Tula finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: S. Kostroma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Arsenal Tula haven't matched S. Kostroma's recent run of results.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on S. Kostroma taking it.
- Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 68%
Arsenal Tula Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | S. Kostroma | Arsenal Tula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Arsenal Tula vs S. Kostroma
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Arsenal Tula
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 FNL
Arsenal Tula vs S. Kostroma
1:2
Oct 31, 2006 FNL 2 - Group 2
S. Kostroma vs Arsenal Tula
2:0
Jul 23, 2006 FNL 2 - Group 2
Arsenal Tula vs S. Kostroma
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
S. Kostroma Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Arsenal Tula Compare
Top Goalscorer Bolshakov K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
S. Kostroma 77 / 100
Arsenal Tula 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
S. Kostroma Arsenal Tula
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick S. Kostroma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arsenal Tula let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.
S. Kostroma found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
S. Kostroma went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
S. Kostroma VS Arsenal Tula
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
S. Kostroma
(Home) 26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2 Ural
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0 Neftekhimik
08 Sept
Ryazan
0 : 2 S. Kostroma
05 Sept
Chelyabinsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2 Ural
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0 Neftekhimik
31 Aug
S. Kostroma
1 : 0 R. Volgograd
17 Aug
S. Kostroma
1 : 1 Ufa
01 Aug
S. Kostroma
2 : 2 Yenisey
Page 1 of 3
Arsenal Tula
(Away) 26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2 Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2 SKA Khabarovsk
08 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 0 Arsenal Tula
05 Sept
Ulyanovsk
3 : 0 Arsenal Tula
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2 Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
08 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 0 Arsenal Tula
05 Sept
Ulyanovsk
3 : 0 Arsenal Tula
24 Aug
Veles Moscow
2 : 0 Arsenal Tula
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moscow | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:28 | 68 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 44:22 | 68 |
| 3 | Ural | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 51:31 | 61 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 47:26 | 56 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Yenisey | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:35 | 49 |
| 7 | S. Kostroma | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:41 | 49 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 34:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Torpedo Moscow | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Chelyabinsk | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:41 | 43 |
| 12 | SKA Khabarovsk | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37:45 | 42 |
| 13 | Arsenal Tula | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42:44 | 39 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:48 | 37 |
| 15 | Ufa | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:40 | 37 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:49 | 35 |
| 17 | Saratov | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 16:44 | 26 |
| 18 | FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
