Sport Picks

Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Arena Khimki

S. Kostroma

1 - 1

Arsenal Tula

Our Tip

Match Events

46'

Sub

Azyavin I. In: Maksimov M.

Out: Azyavin I.

58'

Sub

Gaydash M. In: Sappa D.

Out: Gaydash M.

63'

Khubaev D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2025/2026 game between S. Kostroma and Arsenal Tula finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

S. Kostroma

40%

Draws

29%

Arsenal Tula

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

S. Kostroma have managed 0.5 goals a game lately — Arsenal Tula are scoring more at 1.13.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%

S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 68%

Arsenal Tula Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	S. Kostroma	Arsenal Tula
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	8	8
Draws	11	9
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	0.5	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Club Friendly

Arsenal Tula vs S. Kostroma

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Apr 25, 2026 FNL

S. Kostroma vs Arsenal Tula

Possession: 54% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Sep 13, 2025 FNL

Arsenal Tula vs S. Kostroma

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Oct 31, 2006 FNL 2 - Group 2

S. Kostroma vs Arsenal Tula

Possession: 59% - 51% Cards: 1 - 4

2:0

Jul 23, 2006 FNL 2 - Group 2

Arsenal Tula vs S. Kostroma

Possession: 56% - 45% Cards: 4 - 1

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Kostroma Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Arsenal Tula Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolshakov K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Kostroma 42 / 100

Arsenal Tula 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

S. Kostroma Arsenal Tula

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Tula let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

S. Kostroma found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

S. Kostroma went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

S. Kostroma VS Arsenal Tula

0.5 Goals Scored 1.13

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75

75% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rodina Moscow	34	19	11	4	58:28	68
2	Fakel Voronezh	34	20	8	6	44:22	68
3	Ural	34	18	7	9	51:31	61
4	R. Volgograd	34	15	11	8	47:26	56
5	Kamaz	34	12	13	9	46:34	49
6	Yenisey	34	13	10	11	37:35	49
7	S. Kostroma	34	12	13	9	46:41	49
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	34	11	15	8	34:28	48
9	Torpedo Moscow	34	12	10	12	37:39	46
10	Chelyabinsk	34	10	14	10	42:40	44
11	Neftekhimik	34	10	13	11	40:41	43
12	SKA Khabarovsk	34	10	12	12	37:45	42
13	Arsenal Tula	34	8	15	11	42:44	39
14	Ulyanovsk	34	9	10	15	35:48	37
15	Ufa	34	9	10	15	32:40	37
16	Chernomorets Novorossijsk	34	9	8	17	37:49	35
17	Saratov	34	5	11	18	16:44	26
18	FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye	34	5	7	22	30:76	22