Sport Picks

Stadium Background

S. Kostroma vs Kamaz

Russia Russia

FNL Arena Khimki, Khimki
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Kalmykov A.
(Penalty)
36'
Zhilmostnykh D.
39'
Manuylov R.

AI Match Summary

S. Kostroma in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored S. Kostroma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
S. Kostroma
15%
Draws
21%
Kamaz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: S. Kostroma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to S. Kostroma lately — more wins on the board than Kamaz.
  • S. Kostroma are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 68%
Kamaz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Kostroma Kamaz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 11 11
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.34 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Kamaz
3:1
May 1, 2026 FNL
Kamaz vs S. Kostroma
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Kamaz
1:1
Sep 25, 2025 Russian Cup
Kamaz vs S. Kostroma
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Kostroma Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalmykov A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kamaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Manuylov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Kostroma 77 / 100
Kamaz 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Kostroma Kamaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick S. Kostroma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Kostroma found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Kamaz has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Solid form: S. Kostroma remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

S. Kostroma VS Kamaz
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Kostroma

(Home)
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
Neftekhimik
08 Sept
Ryazan
0 : 2
S. Kostroma
05 Sept
Chelyabinsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
31 Aug
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
R. Volgograd
21 Aug
Torpedo Moscow
3 : 0
S. Kostroma
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Kamaz

(Away)
14 Sept
Kamaz
1 : 1
Chelyabinsk
09 Sept
Kirov
1 : 0
Kamaz
06 Sept
Ural
2 : 0
Kamaz
29 Aug
Leningradets
0 : 1
Kamaz
24 Aug
Kamaz
2 : 3
PFC Sochi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 11 9 1 1 30:14 28
2 PFC Sochi 11 7 1 3 20:13 22
3 Veles Moscow 11 7 1 3 15:13 22
4 S. Kostroma 10 6 3 1 14:8 21
5 Torpedo Moscow 10 6 1 3 20:8 19
6 Ural 10 5 4 1 17:5 19
7 Ufa 10 4 5 1 15:11 17
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl 10 3 6 1 15:12 15
9 R. Volgograd 11 4 2 5 18:14 14
10 Yenisey 11 3 4 4 14:19 13
11 Arsenal Tula 12 3 4 5 12:22 13
12 Neftekhimik 11 4 0 7 7:14 12
13 Ulyanovsk 10 3 2 5 14:16 11
14 Leningradets 10 2 4 4 9:14 10
15 Chelyabinsk 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
16 Tekstilshtik 11 1 4 6 8:17 7
17 Kamaz 11 1 3 7 10:19 6
18 SKA Khabarovsk 10 1 1 8 10:22 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)