Sport Picks

Stadium Background

S. Kostroma vs Kamaz

Russia Russia

FNL Arena Khimki, Khimki
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Kalmykov A.
(Penalty)
36'
Zhilmostnykh D.
39'
Manuylov R.

AI Match Summary

S. Kostroma in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored S. Kostroma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
S. Kostroma
33%
Draws
27%
Kamaz
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: S. Kostroma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Kamaz at 1.25 per game, S. Kostroma at 0.5.
  • S. Kostroma are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 68%
Kamaz Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Kostroma Kamaz
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 12
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Kamaz
3:1
May 1, 2026 FNL
Kamaz vs S. Kostroma
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Kamaz
1:1
Sep 25, 2025 Russian Cup
Kamaz vs S. Kostroma
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Kostroma Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalmykov A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Kamaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Manuylov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Kostroma 50 / 100
Kamaz 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Kostroma Kamaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Kostroma found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Kamaz has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Solid form: S. Kostroma remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

S. Kostroma VS Kamaz
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Kostroma

(Home)
19 Jul
PFC Sochi
0 : 2
S. Kostroma
12 Jul
S. Kostroma
3 : 1
Kamaz
03 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow
2 : 0
S. Kostroma
02 Jul
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0
S. Kostroma
28 Jun
S. Kostroma
1 : 1
Ulyanovsk
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Kamaz

(Away)
19 Jul
Kamaz
1 : 2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
12 Jul
S. Kostroma
3 : 1
Kamaz
04 Jul
Neftekhimik
3 : 3
Kamaz
01 Jul
Kamaz
2 : 3
Neftekhimik
26 Jun
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1
Kamaz
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1S. Kostroma22005:16
2Pari Nizhny Novgorod22006:36
3Torpedo Moscow22004:16
4Veles Moscow22002:06
5Ufa21105:24
6Shinnik Yaroslavl21104:24
7Ural21013:13
8Neftekhimik21011:13
9Chelyabinsk21013:23
10R. Volgograd21013:43
11Arsenal Tula21012:23
12Yenisey21012:43
13Tekstilshtik20113:41
14PFC Sochi20112:41
15Ulyanovsk20022:50
16Kamaz20022:50
17SKA Khabarovsk20021:40
18Leningradets20020:50
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)