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Stadium Background

S. Kostroma vs Neftekhimik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Stadion Urozhay, Karavaevo
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Mashukov I.
15'
Mukba E.
28'
Tarasov N.

AI Match Summary

S. Kostroma in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored S. Kostroma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
S. Kostroma
20%
Draws
10%
Neftekhimik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: S. Kostroma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Neftekhimik haven't matched S. Kostroma's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on S. Kostroma taking it.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 68%
Neftekhimik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Kostroma Neftekhimik
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.21 1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Neftekhimik
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 FNL
Neftekhimik vs S. Kostroma
3:1
Aug 3, 2025 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Neftekhimik
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Kostroma Compare

Top Goalscorer Malyarov K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Neftekhimik Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Kostroma 95 / 100
Neftekhimik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Kostroma Neftekhimik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick S. Kostroma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Kostroma scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Neftekhimik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

S. Kostroma has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

S. Kostroma VS Neftekhimik
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Kostroma

(Home)
03 Nov
S. Kostroma
2 : 3
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
30 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 1
S. Kostroma
26 Oct
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 1
S. Kostroma
17 Oct
S. Kostroma
2 : 0
Leningradets
13 Oct
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
Chelyabinsk
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Neftekhimik

(Away)
31 Oct
Neftekhimik
0 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk
25 Oct
Neftekhimik
1 : 1
Leningradets
17 Oct
Kamaz
2 : 1
Neftekhimik
09 Oct
Neftekhimik
2 : 4
Chelyabinsk
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ural
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 16 14 1 1 48:15 43
2 PFC Sochi 16 10 2 4 26:17 32
3 Ural 16 9 4 3 27:11 31
4 Torpedo Moscow 16 8 5 3 28:13 29
5 S. Kostroma 16 8 4 4 22:16 28
6 Veles Moscow 17 8 4 5 21:20 28
7 Shinnik Yaroslavl 16 5 8 3 20:17 23
8 Ulyanovsk 17 6 4 7 22:23 22
9 Ufa 16 5 7 4 18:15 22
10 R. Volgograd 16 5 5 6 23:18 20
11 Arsenal Tula 16 5 4 7 19:33 19
12 Chelyabinsk 16 5 3 8 21:26 18
13 Leningradets 16 4 5 7 15:26 17
14 Kamaz 16 3 5 8 20:28 14
15 Yenisey 16 3 5 8 16:33 14
16 SKA Khabarovsk 16 3 4 9 20:28 13
17 Neftekhimik 16 4 1 11 11:24 13
18 Tekstilshtik 16 2 5 9 12:26 11
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)