Sport Picks

Stadium Background

S. Kostroma vs Neftekhimik

Russia Russia

FNL Stadion Urozhay, Karavaevo
Mon, Sep 14, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

S. Kostroma host Neftekhimik in the FNL. Little to choose between these two on current form. S. Kostroma have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Neftekhimik's 1.07 scored and 1.31 conceded. Head-to-head, S. Kostroma have won 0 to Neftekhimik's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 0.81, favoring S. Kostroma. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
S. Kostroma
15%
Draws
32%
Neftekhimik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: S. Kostroma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Neftekhimik haven't matched S. Kostroma's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on S. Kostroma taking it.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 20%
Neftekhimik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Kostroma Neftekhimik
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 6
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 FNL
Neftekhimik vs S. Kostroma
3:1
Aug 3, 2025 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Neftekhimik
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Kostroma 42 / 100
Neftekhimik 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Kostroma Neftekhimik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Kostroma scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Neftekhimik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

S. Kostroma has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

S. Kostroma VS Neftekhimik
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Kostroma

(Home)
08 Sept
Ryazan
0 : 2
S. Kostroma
05 Sept
Chelyabinsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
31 Aug
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
R. Volgograd
21 Aug
Torpedo Moscow
3 : 0
S. Kostroma
17 Aug
S. Kostroma
1 : 1
Ufa
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Neftekhimik

(Away)
09 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 1
Neftekhimik
05 Sept
Yenisey
0 : 2
Neftekhimik
28 Aug
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ufa
24 Aug
R. Volgograd
0 : 1
Neftekhimik
20 Aug
Neftekhimik
1 : 2
PFC Sochi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 10 8 1 1 28:13 25
2 Veles Moscow 10 7 1 2 14:11 22
3 PFC Sochi 10 6 1 3 18:12 19
4 Torpedo Moscow 9 6 1 2 19:6 19
5 Ural 9 5 3 1 16:4 18
6 S. Kostroma 9 5 3 1 13:8 18
7 Ufa 9 4 4 1 13:9 16
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl 9 3 5 1 14:11 14
9 Neftekhimik 10 4 0 6 7:13 12
10 Arsenal Tula 10 3 3 4 9:17 12
11 R. Volgograd 10 3 2 5 14:14 11
12 Yenisey 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
13 Ulyanovsk 9 3 1 5 12:14 10
14 Leningradets 9 2 3 4 7:12 9
15 Chelyabinsk 9 2 1 6 9:16 7
16 Tekstilshtik 10 1 3 6 6:15 6
17 Kamaz 10 1 2 7 9:18 5
18 SKA Khabarovsk 9 1 0 8 8:20 3
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)