Sport Picks

Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Stadion Urozhay

S. Kostroma

1 - 1

Shinnik Yaroslavl

Our Tip

Match Events

Lanin O.

16'

Galoyan A.

23'

Mitrov T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2025/2026 game between S. Kostroma and Shinnik Yaroslavl finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

S. Kostroma

40%

Draws

29%

Shinnik Yaroslavl

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Shinnik Yaroslavl carry the better recent record into this one.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 68%

Shinnik Yaroslavl Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	S. Kostroma	Shinnik Yaroslavl
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	8	11
Draws	12	12
Losses	9	6
Goals Scored	1	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.25	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 FNL

S. Kostroma vs Shinnik Yaroslavl

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Oct 25, 2025 FNL

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs S. Kostroma

Possession: 58% - 47% Cards: 0 - 0

2:2

Jul 4, 2017 Club Friendly

S. Kostroma vs Shinnik Yaroslavl

Possession: 45% - 44% Cards: 0 - 0

0:2

Jun 29, 2016 Club Friendly

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs S. Kostroma

Possession: 58% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Kostroma Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalmykov A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Shinnik Yaroslavl Compare

Top Goalscorer Galoyan A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Kostroma 42 / 100

Shinnik Yaroslavl 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

S. Kostroma Shinnik Yaroslavl

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Kostroma scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Solid form: S. Kostroma remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Shinnik Yaroslavl has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

S. Kostroma VS Shinnik Yaroslavl

1 Goals Scored 1.5

1.25 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rodina Moscow	34	19	11	4	58:28	68
2	Fakel Voronezh	34	20	8	6	44:22	68
3	Ural	34	18	7	9	51:31	61
4	R. Volgograd	34	15	11	8	47:26	56
5	Kamaz	34	12	13	9	46:34	49
6	Yenisey	34	13	10	11	37:35	49
7	S. Kostroma	34	12	13	9	46:41	49
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	34	11	15	8	34:28	48
9	Torpedo Moscow	34	12	10	12	37:39	46
10	Chelyabinsk	34	10	14	10	42:40	44
11	Neftekhimik	34	10	13	11	40:41	43
12	SKA Khabarovsk	34	10	12	12	37:45	42
13	Arsenal Tula	34	8	15	11	42:44	39
14	Ulyanovsk	34	9	10	15	35:48	37
15	Ufa	34	9	10	15	32:40	37
16	Chernomorets Novorossijsk	34	9	8	17	37:49	35
17	Saratov	34	5	11	18	16:44	26
18	FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye	34	5	7	22	30:76	22