Sport Picks

Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Arena Khimki

S. Kostroma

3 - 0

SKA Khabarovsk

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Nazarenko E.

30'

Grebenkin Y.

37'

Kalmykov A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

S. Kostroma in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored S. Kostroma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

S. Kostroma

39%

Draws

31%

SKA Khabarovsk

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

SKA Khabarovsk average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of S. Kostroma's 1.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 3 times recently and S. Kostroma have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%

S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 68%

SKA Khabarovsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	S. Kostroma	SKA Khabarovsk
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	9	9
Draws	12	9
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	1	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 FNL

S. Kostroma vs SKA Khabarovsk

Possession: 42% - 45% Cards: 1 - 4

3:0

Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly

SKA Khabarovsk vs S. Kostroma

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

3:1

Aug 24, 2025 FNL

SKA Khabarovsk vs S. Kostroma

Possession: 60% - 42% Cards: 0 - 3

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Kostroma Compare

Top Goalscorer Nazarenko E.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Kalmykov A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

SKA Khabarovsk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Kostroma 41 / 100

SKA Khabarovsk 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

S. Kostroma SKA Khabarovsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: S. Kostroma scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

SKA Khabarovsk has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

S. Kostroma went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

S. Kostroma VS SKA Khabarovsk

1 Goals Scored 1.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rodina Moscow	34	19	11	4	58:28	68
2	Fakel Voronezh	34	20	8	6	44:22	68
3	Ural	34	18	7	9	51:31	61
4	R. Volgograd	34	15	11	8	47:26	56
5	Kamaz	34	12	13	9	46:34	49
6	Yenisey	34	13	10	11	37:35	49
7	S. Kostroma	34	12	13	9	46:41	49
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	34	11	15	8	34:28	48
9	Torpedo Moscow	34	12	10	12	37:39	46
10	Chelyabinsk	34	10	14	10	42:40	44
11	Neftekhimik	34	10	13	11	40:41	43
12	SKA Khabarovsk	34	10	12	12	37:45	42
13	Arsenal Tula	34	8	15	11	42:44	39
14	Ulyanovsk	34	9	10	15	35:48	37
15	Ufa	34	9	10	15	32:40	37
16	Chernomorets Novorossijsk	34	9	8	17	37:49	35
17	Saratov	34	5	11	18	16:44	26
18	FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye	34	5	7	22	30:76	22