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S. Kostroma vs Ulyanovsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kasyanov I.
25' Event
Kalmykov A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
S. Kostroma
15%
Draws
31%
Ulyanovsk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: S. Kostroma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to S. Kostroma lately — more wins on the board than Ulyanovsk.
  • S. Kostroma are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 20%
Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Kostroma Ulyanovsk
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs S. Kostroma
0:1
Jun 28, 2026 Club Friendly
S. Kostroma vs Ulyanovsk
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs S. Kostroma
1:0
Sep 29, 2025 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Ulyanovsk
1:1
May 4, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
S. Kostroma vs Ulyanovsk
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Kostroma Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalmykov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ulyanovsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasyanov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Kostroma 58 / 100
Ulyanovsk 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Kostroma Ulyanovsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick S. Kostroma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Kostroma scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Ulyanovsk has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

S. Kostroma has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

S. Kostroma VS Ulyanovsk
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Kostroma

(Home)
26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2
Ural
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
Neftekhimik
08 Sept
Ryazan
0 : 2
S. Kostroma
05 Sept
Chelyabinsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
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Ulyanovsk

(Away)
04 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 2
Ulyanovsk
26 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
Leningradets
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
09 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
0 : 1
Ulyanovsk
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