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S. Morning vs Colchagua CD

Chile Chile

Segunda Division Estadio Municipal de La Pintana
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Marin C.
47'
Carrasco O.
58'
Perez V. M.

AI Match Summary

Colchagua CD in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colchagua CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
S. Morning
39%
Draws
31%
Colchagua CD
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to S. Morning lately — more wins on the board than Colchagua CD.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
S. Morning Clean Sheet 18%
Colchagua CD Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Morning Colchagua CD
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Segunda Division
Colchagua CD vs S. Morning
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 Segunda Division
S. Morning vs Colchagua CD
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Morning Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Colchagua CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Tobar J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Morning 31 / 100
Colchagua CD 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Morning Colchagua CD

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Morning found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Colchagua CD's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

S. Morning went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

S. Morning VS Colchagua CD
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brujas Salamanca1257011:522
2Concon National1263316:1021
3Santiago City1255218:1920
4Trasandino1253419:1718
5Real San Joaquin1234516:1713
6Atletico Colina1233615:1412
7Provincial Ovalle1213811:246
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Osorno1266015:524
2Colchagua CD1264215:1122
3Linares Unido1261516:1219
4General Velasquez1251611:1516
5Lota Schwager1234511:1313
6Deportes Rengo1232710:1711
7S. Morning122469:1410