Sport Picks
S. Wanderers vs Cobreloa
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander, Valparaíso 
Match Events
15'
15'
Navarro L.
(Penalty)
16'
16'
Zuniga S.
16'
16'
Villarroel M.
AI Match Summary
S. Wanderers in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored S. Wanderers.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Cobreloa have won more games recently than S. Wanderers.
- 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
S. Wanderers Clean Sheet 68%
Cobreloa Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | S. Wanderers | Cobreloa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.44 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs Cobreloa
5:1
Nov 23, 2025 Liga de Primera
Cobreloa vs S. Wanderers
3:2
Nov 19, 2025 Liga de Primera
S. Wanderers vs Cobreloa
2:2
Oct 26, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Cobreloa vs S. Wanderers
2:0
Jun 14, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs Cobreloa
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
S. Wanderers Compare
Top Goalscorer Camarda M.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Cobreloa Compare
Top Goalscorer Velazco F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
S. Wanderers 41 / 100
Cobreloa 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
S. Wanderers Cobreloa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick S. Wanderers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.60 goals.
Attacking prowess: S. Wanderers scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.
Cobreloa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
Recent resilience: S. Wanderers stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
S. Wanderers VS Cobreloa
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
S. Wanderers
(Home) 24 Aug
San Luis
0 : 1 S. Wanderers
16 Aug
S. Wanderers
1 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
13 Aug
Antofagasta
0 : 0 S. Wanderers
08 Aug
S. Wanderers
1 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
05 Aug
S. Wanderers
0 : 4 Union La Calera
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
S. Wanderers
1 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
08 Aug
S. Wanderers
1 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
05 Aug
S. Wanderers
0 : 4 Union La Calera
25 Jul
S. Wanderers
2 : 0 San Felipe
05 Jul
S. Wanderers
2 : 3 U. De Chile
Page 1 of 3
Cobreloa
(Away) 22 Aug
Cobreloa
0 : 1 U. Espanola
16 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 1 Cobreloa
12 Aug
Magallanes
2 : 2 Cobreloa
08 Aug
Cobreloa
1 : 1 Deportes Iquique
01 Aug
Curico Unido
0 : 0 Cobreloa
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 1 Cobreloa
12 Aug
Magallanes
2 : 2 Cobreloa
01 Aug
Curico Unido
0 : 0 Cobreloa
05 Jul
Cobresal
2 : 2 Cobreloa
28 Jun
La Serena
2 : 1 Cobreloa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Wanderers | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 37:21 | 38 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 38:23 | 38 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37:35 | 35 |
| 4 | Antofagasta | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36:22 | 34 |
| 5 | U. Espanola | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29:27 | 34 |
| 6 | San Luis | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 31:26 | 32 |
| 7 | D. Puerto Montt | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 22:24 | 31 |
| 8 | San Marcos de Arica | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 25:18 | 30 |
| 9 | Recoleta | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 32:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Copiapo | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31:31 | 30 |
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 31:26 | 25 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 33:32 | 25 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 20:32 | 20 |
| 14 | San Felipe | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15:37 | 20 |
| 15 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 24:37 | 16 |
| 16 | Rangers | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18:37 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
