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S. Wanderers vs Curico Unido - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander, Valparaíso
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

S. Wanderers host Curico Unido in the Liga de Ascenso. Little to choose between these two on current form. S. Wanderers have averaged 1.52 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Curico Unido's 0.93 scored and 1.43 conceded. Head-to-head, S. Wanderers have won 2 to Curico Unido's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.81, favoring S. Wanderers. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
S. Wanderers
15%
Draws
28%
Curico Unido
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: S. Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and S. Wanderers come out ahead of Curico Unido on wins alone.
  • Model gives S. Wanderers a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
S. Wanderers Clean Sheet 20%
Curico Unido Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Wanderers Curico Unido
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 11
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.52 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs S. Wanderers
0:3
Oct 18, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs S. Wanderers
1:0
Jul 5, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs Curico Unido
2:1
Oct 7, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs S. Wanderers
2:2
May 19, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs Curico Unido
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Wanderers 76 / 100
Curico Unido 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Wanderers Curico Unido

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick S. Wanderers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Wanderers scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Curico Unido let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Curico Unido has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

S. Wanderers VS Curico Unido
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Wanderers

(Home)
03 Oct
Recoleta
2 : 1
S. Wanderers
26 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 0
S. Wanderers
08 Sept
Deportes Temuco
3 : 0
S. Wanderers
04 Sept
S. Wanderers
1 : 0
Deportes Iquique
29 Aug
S. Wanderers
2 : 1
Magallanes
Page 1 of 6

Curico Unido

(Away)
03 Oct
Magallanes
1 : 0
Curico Unido
27 Sept
D. Concepcion
2 : 0
Curico Unido
23 Sept
Curico Unido
0 : 4
D. Concepcion
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0
Curico Unido
08 Sept
Curico Unido
2 : 1
U. Espanola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 S. Wanderers 26 12 8 6 41:28 44
4 Magallanes 26 12 7 7 42:38 43
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 26 11 8 7 38:34 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
11 Deportes Temuco 26 8 8 10 40:36 32
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 26 6 9 11 22:39 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 26 4 10 12 27:40 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)