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Saarbrucken vs VfB Stuttgart II

Germany Germany

3. Liga Ludwigspark Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saarbrucken play VfB Stuttgart II in the 3. Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Saarbrucken averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. VfB Stuttgart II averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Saarbrucken won 3, VfB Stuttgart II won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 14, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Saarbrucken and 2.00 for VfB Stuttgart II. This points to a Saarbrucken double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Saarbrucken
17%
Draws
41%
VfB Stuttgart II
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Saarbrucken

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Saarbrucken picked up more points recently compared to VfB Stuttgart II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Saarbrucken Clean Sheet 10%
VfB Stuttgart II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saarbrucken VfB Stuttgart II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 10 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.66 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 3. Liga
Saarbrucken vs VfB Stuttgart II
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 3. Liga
VfB Stuttgart II vs Saarbrucken
1:3
Mar 14, 2025 3. Liga
Saarbrucken vs VfB Stuttgart II
0:2
Jan 10, 2025 Club Friendly
VfB Stuttgart II vs Saarbrucken
3:2
Oct 19, 2024 3. Liga
VfB Stuttgart II vs Saarbrucken
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saarbrucken Compare

Top Goalscorer Elongo-Yombo R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brunker K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

VfB Stuttgart II Compare

Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saarbrucken 40 / 100
VfB Stuttgart II 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saarbrucken VfB Stuttgart II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Saarbrucken or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Saarbrucken attacking → ← attacking VfB Stuttgart II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saarbrucken scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

VfB Stuttgart II let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Saarbrucken went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

VfB Stuttgart II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 34
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1VfL Osnabruck38248666:3480
2Energie Cottbus38219872:5172
3RW Essen382010878:6670
4Duisburg381911866:4968
5Hansa Rostock381813774:4967
6Verl3818101082:4864
7Alemannia Aachen381971276:5764
8Munich 18603815111254:5356
9Wehen381581554:5253
10Mannheim381571659:7252
11FC Viktoria Koln381561751:5351
12Ingolstadt3813101565:5649
13Regensburg381471754:5849
14VfB Stuttgart II381371857:6946
15Saarbrucken3810141451:5744
16Hoffenheim II381271965:7143
17TSV Havelse38982157:8935
18Aue387131851:7034
19Ulm38962349:7833
201. FC Schweinfurt38562738:8721