Sport Picks
Saaremaa vs Saku Sporting
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2011/2012 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Estonian Cup 2011/2012. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Saaremaa have averaged 0.86 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against Saku Sporting's 2.1 scored and 3.4 conceded. Past meetings favor Saaremaa slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 3, 2011, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 3.17 vs 1.68, favoring Saku Sporting. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saku Sporting
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Saku Sporting lately — more wins on the board than Saaremaa.
- Model gives Saku Sporting a 49% chance of winning this.
- Saku Sporting arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Saaremaa Clean Sheet 13%
Saku Sporting Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Saaremaa | Saku Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 7 | 20 |
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 3.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.17 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 3, 2011 Estonian Cup
Saaremaa vs Saku Sporting
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Saaremaa 10 / 100
Saku Sporting 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Saaremaa Saku Sporting
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Saku Sporting Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Saaremaa's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 5 recent games.
Defensive concern: Saku Sporting conceded in 89% of 19 recent games.
Saaremaa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Saaremaa VS Saku Sporting
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 5.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Saaremaa
(Home) 09 Sept
Narva
: Saaremaa
22 Jul
Kadakas
1 : 2 Saaremaa
09 Oct
Saaremaa
1 : 4 Parnu Linnameeskond
07 Sept
Leisi
0 : 1 Saaremaa
03 Aug
Saaremaa
: Saku Sporting
Page 1 of 2
09 Oct
Saaremaa
1 : 4 Parnu Linnameeskond
03 Aug
Saaremaa
: Saku Sporting
Saku Sporting
(Away) 19 Aug
Olympic Tallinn
0 : 7 Saku Sporting
26 Jul
Saku Sporting
2 : 1 Legion
03 Sept
Tallinna FC Zapoos
3 : 0 Saku Sporting
31 Jul
Saku Sporting
3 : 2 Marjamaa Kompanii
18 Jun
Raplamaa
1 : 5 Saku Sporting
Page 1 of 4
19 Aug
Olympic Tallinn
0 : 7 Saku Sporting
03 Sept
Tallinna FC Zapoos
3 : 0 Saku Sporting
18 Jun
Raplamaa
1 : 5 Saku Sporting
14 Feb
Tallinna Kalev
3 : 3 Saku Sporting
30 Sept
Legion
11 : 0 Saku Sporting
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Paide Linnameeskond -
TBD -
TBD -
Tabasalu II -
SK Taaksi -
TBD -
TBD -
Kivioli Irbis -
Voru -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallina Mercury -
Tammeka Tartu II 5
Valga Warrior 1
TBD -
Sillamae Kalev -
Saaremaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Saku Sporting -
Tallinn Piraaja -
TBD -
TBD -
Leisi -
Soccernet -
TBD -
Warrior Valga II 2
Akhtamar 4
Quattromed -
TBD -
Reaal 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 9
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Pokkeriprod -
Olympic Tallinn 6
FC KIIU 1
Otepaa II 0
Raasiku Joker 5
Tartu JK Welco 1
Tallinna Kalev III 0
TBD -
Loo JK -
Ambla -
TBD -
Lasnamae 0
Kuressaare 6
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Kose 0
TBD -
Rapla -
Jogeva 2
Saue JK Laagri 1
JK Luunja 0
Elva 1
Navi Vutiselts -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Visadus -
Legion -
TBD -
Tartu SK 10 2
Narva 4
Levadia 8
Kohtla-Jarve Lootus 0
Kalju III 0
Kalju 14
Kristiine -
TBD -
Haiba 0
FCI Tallinn 8
Otepaa 9
SK EPMU Tartu 1
TBD -
Metropool Parnu -
Tapa 2
Igiliikur 1
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS 2
Tallinna Kalev 10
Paide Linnameeskond U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sorve -
Ulikool Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Ganvix Turi -
FC Ararat 3
Tulevik 1
TBD -
Castovanni Eagles -
Premium Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Viljandi 7
Kaitseliit 2
Tabivere 1
Rada Kuusalu 2
Vastseliina Tannem -
TBD -
Toompea 1994 1
Johvi Phoenix 12
Keila JK 3
Nomme Utd 1
Twister Tallinn 1
Tabasalu 9
Eston Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakvere -
FC Lootos Polva -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev II 1
Jarva-Jaani 4
Kaitseliit II -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju II -
Puuma -
TBD -
TBD -
Kardla -
Lelle 2
Viimsi JK 1
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Flora 17
1/32-finals
Paide Linnameeskond 8
Tabasalu II 0
SK Taaksi 1
Kivioli Irbis 8
Voru 5
Tallina Mercury 0
Tammeka Tartu II 0
Sillamae Kalev 6
Saaremaa -
Saku Sporting -
Tallinn Piraaja 2
Leisi 3
Soccernet 4
Akhtamar 3
Quattromed 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 5
Tammeka Tartu 24
Pokkeriprod 0
Olympic Tallinn 0
Raasiku Joker 3
Tartu JK Welco 5
Loo JK 2
Ambla 0
Kuressaare 7
Maardu Linnameeskond 4
Rapla 0
Jogeva 2
Elva 2
Navi Vutiselts 2
JK Visadus 0
Legion 0
Narva 7
Levadia 2
Kalju 1
Kristiine 0
FCI Tallinn 9
Otepaa 3
Metropool Parnu 0
Tapa 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Paide Linnameeskond U21 1
Sorve 0
Ulikool Tallinn 2
Ganvix Turi 3
FC Ararat 3
Castovanni Eagles 2
Premium Tartu 0
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Viljandi 3
Rada Kuusalu 0
Vastseliina Tannem 1
Johvi Phoenix 9
Keila JK -
Tabasalu -
Eston Villa 0
Rakvere 5
FC Lootos Polva 6
Jarva-Jaani 1
Kaitseliit II 1
Kalju II 10
Puuma 3
Kardla 1
Lelle 0
Flora 13
1/16-finals
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Kivioli Irbis 1
Voru 0
Sillamae Kalev 8
Saaremaa 1
Leisi 0
Soccernet 0
Parnu Linnameeskond 13
Tammeka Tartu 4
Raasiku Joker 1
Tartu JK Welco 1
Kuressaare 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Elva 1
Navi Vutiselts 0
Narva 9
Levadia 5
FCI Tallinn 0
Otepaa 0
Tallinna Kalev 7
Paide Linnameeskond U21 3
Ganvix Turi 2
FC Ararat 1
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Viljandi 3
Johvi Phoenix 0
Keila JK 2
Rakvere 5
FC Lootos Polva 5
Kalju II 4
Puuma 1
Flora 4
1/8-finals
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Sillamae Kalev 3
Saaremaa 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 4
Tammeka Tartu 7
Kuressaare 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Narva 6
Levadia 4
Tallinna Kalev 1
Paide Linnameeskond U21 0
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Viljandi 2
Rakvere 1
FC Lootos Polva 0
Flora 9
Quarter-finals
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Parnu Linnameeskond 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Narva 2
Levadia 2
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Viljandi 0
Flora 3
Semi-finals
Levadia 1
Flora 0
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Narva 1
Final
Levadia 3
Narva 0
