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Sabadell B vs Palamos CF

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2016/2017 game between Sabadell B and Palamos CF finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palamos CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sabadell B
15%
Draws
57%
Palamos CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palamos CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sabadell B come out ahead of Palamos CF on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Palamos CF's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sabadell B Clean Sheet 20%
Palamos CF Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabadell B Palamos CF
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 7 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.06 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Sabadell B vs Palamos CF
1:3
Oct 12, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Palamos CF vs Sabadell B
1:0
Jan 9, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Palamos CF vs Sabadell B
1:2
Aug 23, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Sabadell B vs Palamos CF
2:2
Jan 18, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Sabadell B vs Palamos CF
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabadell B 28 / 100
Palamos CF 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabadell B Palamos CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palamos CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palamos CF let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Sabadell B scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Palamos CF has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sabadell B VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabadell B

(Home)
10 May
FC Lescala
3 : 1
Sabadell B
04 May
Sabadell B
1 : 4
CF Badalona
26 Apr
UE Tona
2 : 1
Sabadell B
18 Apr
Sabadell B
0 : 2
Cerdanyola del Valles
13 Apr
Reus FC Reddis
1 : 2
Sabadell B
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Palamos CF

(Away)
17 Aug
Palamos CF
1 : 4
Sant Andreu
05 Jan
Lausanne
3 : 1
Palamos CF
10 Aug
Palamos CF
2 : 3
Terrassa
07 Aug
Palamos CF
2 : 1
Olot
27 Jul
Palamos CF
2 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 38 24 8 6 73:38 80
2 Peralada 38 24 5 9 68:27 77
3 Terrassa 38 19 9 10 48:26 66
4 FC Vilafranca 38 18 10 10 60:37 64
5 Sant Andreu 38 16 12 10 51:40 60
6 FC Asco 38 15 12 11 44:37 57
7 Pobla Mafumet 38 12 19 7 43:36 55
8 Granollers 38 14 8 16 47:54 50
9 UE Figueres 38 12 14 12 39:41 50
10 Vilassar de Mar 38 13 11 14 40:44 50
11 Palamos CF 38 13 10 15 49:55 49
12 CE Europa 38 11 14 13 28:32 47
13 Santfeliuenc 38 11 12 15 39:44 45
14 Cerdanyola del Valles 38 11 12 15 43:51 45
15 UE Castelldefels 38 11 9 18 34:51 42
16 La Jonquera 38 10 12 16 19:29 42
17 Montanesa 38 11 9 18 32:48 42
18 Manlleu AEC 38 8 16 14 41:59 40
19 Jupiter 38 7 14 17 32:52 35
20 Sabadell B 38 7 10 21 34:63 31
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)