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Stadium Background

Sabadell vs Real Oviedo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta, Sabadell
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Valles G.
Assist: Priego J.
44' Event
Sanz O.
Assist: Ripoll T.
46'
Sub
Ahmed A. In: Pedrola E.
Out: Ahmed A.

AI Match Summary

Sabadell in this LaLiga2 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sabadell.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sabadell
30%
Draws
33%
Real Oviedo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sabadell

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Sabadell have won more games recently than Real Oviedo.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Sabadell Clean Sheet 68%
Real Oviedo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabadell Real Oviedo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.32 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 LaLiga2
Sabadell vs Real Oviedo
3:1
May 9, 2021 LaLiga2
Real Oviedo vs Sabadell
2:1
Dec 6, 2020 LaLiga2
Sabadell vs Real Oviedo
0:1
Apr 17, 2049 LaLiga
Sabadell vs Real Oviedo
2:2
Dec 5, 2048 LaLiga
Real Oviedo vs Sabadell
5:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sabadell Compare

Top Goalscorer Valles G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanz O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Real Oviedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedrola E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabadell 41 / 100
Real Oviedo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabadell Real Oviedo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sabadell Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Sabadell scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Sabadell stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Real Oviedo conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sabadell VS Real Oviedo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabadell

(Home)
04 Oct
Sabadell
0 : 0
FC Andorra
26 Sept
Celta Vigo B
1 : 1
Sabadell
20 Sept
Sabadell
3 : 1
Real Oviedo
13 Sept
Mallorca
2 : 0
Sabadell
07 Sept
Sabadell
3 : 2
Cordoba
Page 1 of 6

Real Oviedo

(Away)
02 Oct
Eldense
4 : 1
Real Oviedo
27 Sept
Real Oviedo
2 : 0
Gijon
20 Sept
Sabadell
3 : 1
Real Oviedo
13 Sept
Valladolid
0 : 3
Real Oviedo
06 Sept
Real Oviedo
0 : 0
Burgos CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eibar 8 7 0 1 18:7 21
2 Castellon 8 6 2 0 15:3 20
3 Almeria 8 6 0 2 13:5 18
4 Girona 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
5 Mallorca 8 4 2 2 8:3 14
6 Burgos CF 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
7 Sabadell 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
8 Gijon 8 4 1 3 8:8 13
9 Granada CF 8 3 2 3 13:13 11
10 Real Oviedo 8 3 2 3 8:8 11
11 Las Palmas 8 3 2 3 12:13 11
12 Tenerife 8 3 2 3 10:12 11
13 Leganes 8 3 2 3 6:11 11
14 Valladolid 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
15 Cordoba 8 3 0 5 13:18 9
16 Real Sociedad B 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
17 Eldense 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
18 Celta Vigo B 8 2 2 4 10:14 8
19 Cadiz 8 1 4 3 11:10 7
20 FC Andorra 8 2 1 5 12:15 7
21 AD Ceuta 8 1 2 5 7:18 5
22 Albacete 8 0 1 7 5:15 1
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