Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sabah Baku vs TNS

Europe Europe

Champions League Bank Respublika Arena, Masazır
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Mickels J.
45'
Zedadka A.
45'
Williams J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Sabah Baku advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sabah Baku
30%
Draws
34%
TNS
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sabah Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • TNS have managed 0.71 goals a game lately — Sabah Baku are scoring more at 1.63.
  • Model gives Sabah Baku a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Sabah Baku, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 20%
TNS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabah Baku TNS
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 20
Draws 6 1
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 1.63 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Champions League
TNS vs Sabah Baku
1:2
Jul 7, 2026 Champions League
Sabah Baku vs TNS
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sabah Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Simic V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parris K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

TNS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabah Baku 36 / 100
TNS 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabah Baku TNS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sabah Baku found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

TNS let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Sabah Baku went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sabah Baku VS TNS
1.63 Goals Scored 0.71
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 29%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabah Baku

(Home)
21 Jul
Sabah Baku
1 : 0
KuPS
14 Jul
TNS
1 : 2
Sabah Baku
07 Jul
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
TNS
02 Jul
Polissya Zhytomyr
4 : 1
Sabah Baku
28 Jun
Ferencvaros
1 : 1
Sabah Baku
Page 1 of 6

TNS

(Away)
23 Jul
Flora
1 : 0
TNS
14 Jul
TNS
1 : 2
Sabah Baku
07 Jul
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
TNS
26 Jun
Harland & Wolff
1 : 2
TNS
24 Jun
Glentoran
1 : 1
TNS
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Thun-
TBD-
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
Klaksvik4
Bissen2
FK Kauno Zalgiris4
Drita3
Mjallby-
TBD-
Lincoln Red Imps4
Inter Escaldes2
Flora4
Iberia 19995
TBD-
Slovan Bratislava-
Borac Banja Luka1
Levski Sofia5
ML Vitebsk1
Univ. Craiova5
Omonia-
TBD-
Kairat Almaty4
Sutjeska1
Aarhus-
TBD-
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Sabah Baku4
TNS1
Vardar3
KuPS4
Ararat-Armenia4
Riga FC3
Floriana3
Shamrock Rovers5
Petrocub Hincesti2
KF Egnatia7
TBD-
Celje-
Vikingur Reykjavik3
Gyor2
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
Tre Fiori1
Larne3
TBD-
Crvena zvezda-
Olympiacos Piraeus-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Fenerbahce-
TBD-
TBD-
Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
TBD-
TBD-
Hearts-
Sparta Prague-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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Quarter-finals
Thun1
Din. Zagreb1
Klaksvik0
FK Kauno Zalgiris0
Mjallby3
Lincoln Red Imps0
Iberia 19990
Slovan Bratislava2
Levski Sofia1
Univ. Craiova0
Omonia1
Kairat Almaty0
Aarhus1
Lech Poznan4
Sabah Baku1
KuPS0
Ararat-Armenia2
Shamrock Rovers0
KF Egnatia3
Celje3
Vikingur Reykjavik2
H. Beer Sheva1
Larne0
Crvena zvezda4
Olympiacos Piraeus-
TBD-
TBD-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
TBD-
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Fenerbahce1
Gornik Zabrze0
Sturm Graz4
Hearts0
Sparta Prague-
TBD-
TBD-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Olympiacos Piraeus-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
Bodo/Glimt-
TBD-
TBD-
Sparta Prague-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
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