Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

Premier League Bank Respublika Arena

Sabah Baku

7 - 1

Gabala

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Mickels J.

24'

Isayev A.

25'

Sub

Manafov T. In: Ahmadov E.

Out: Manafov T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sabah Baku in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 7-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sabah Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Sabah Baku

39%

Draws

30%

Gabala

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Sabah Baku lately — more wins on the board than Gabala.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Sabah Baku have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 7%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 20%

Gabala Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sabah Baku	Gabala
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	21	10
Draws	6	5
Losses	3	15
Goals Scored	1.63	1.29
Goals Conceded	0.75	0.86
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 Premier League

Sabah Baku vs Gabala

Possession: 42% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

7:1

Mar 5, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup

Gabala vs Sabah Baku

Possession: 46% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

3:4

Feb 16, 2026 Premier League

Gabala vs Sabah Baku

Possession: 42% - 46% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Feb 4, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup

Sabah Baku vs Gabala

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Nov 3, 2025 Premier League

Sabah Baku vs Gabala

Possession: 52% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sabah Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Mickels J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Isayev A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Gabala Compare

Top Goalscorer Ba Loua A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.17

Avg xA / game 0.72

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabah Baku 32 / 100

Gabala 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sabah Baku Gabala

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAB Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sabah Baku scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Gabala has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sabah Baku stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sabah Baku VS Gabala

1.63 Goals Scored 1.29

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.86

75% Over 1.5 71%

63% Over 2.5 29%

0% Over 3.5 14%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sabah Baku	33	24	6	3	75:25	78
2	Qarabag Agdam	33	21	6	6	71:27	69
3	Turan	33	17	8	8	44:27	59
4	Neftci Baku	33	16	11	6	57:32	59
5	Zira FK	33	13	14	6	43:36	53
6	Araz PFK	33	13	7	13	44:58	46
7	SumQayit FK	33	12	5	16	45:49	41
8	Shamakhi	33	9	11	13	31:40	38
9	Imisli FK	33	7	13	13	23:43	34
10	Kapaz	33	8	3	22	25:61	27
11	Gabala	33	7	6	20	32:49	27
12	Karvan	33	3	6	24	23:66	15