Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

Premier League Bank Respublika Arena

Sabah Baku

2 - 2

Zira FK

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Mickels J.

32'

Ruan Renato

(Penalty)

41'

Aydin E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Sabah Baku

40%

Draws

29%

Zira FK

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Zira FK haven't matched Sabah Baku's recent run of results.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 20%

Zira FK Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sabah Baku	Zira FK
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	20	9
Draws	6	12
Losses	3	8
Goals Scored	1.63	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup

Sabah Baku vs Zira FK

Possession: 57% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Apr 11, 2026 Premier League

Sabah Baku vs Zira FK

Possession: 48% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

2:2

Jan 31, 2026 Premier League

Zira FK vs Sabah Baku

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 4 - 0

1:3

Oct 19, 2025 Premier League

Sabah Baku vs Zira FK

Possession: 49% - 43% Cards: 4 - 2

3:0

May 17, 2025 Premier League

Zira FK vs Sabah Baku

Possession: 45% - 57% Cards: 0 - 4

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sabah Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Mickels J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Nogueira Y.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Zira FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Aydin E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabah Baku 32 / 100

Zira FK 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sabah Baku Zira FK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sabah Baku's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Sabah Baku has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Zira FK has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sabah Baku VS Zira FK

1.63 Goals Scored 1.25

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sabah Baku	33	24	6	3	75:25	78
2	Qarabag Agdam	33	21	6	6	71:27	69
3	Turan	33	17	8	8	44:27	59
4	Neftci Baku	33	16	11	6	57:32	59
5	Zira FK	33	13	14	6	43:36	53
6	Araz PFK	33	13	7	13	44:58	46
7	SumQayit FK	33	12	5	16	45:49	41
8	Shamakhi	33	9	11	13	31:40	38
9	Imisli FK	33	7	13	13	23:43	34
10	Kapaz	33	8	3	22	25:61	27
11	Gabala	33	7	6	20	32:49	27
12	Karvan	33	3	6	24	23:66	15