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Sabah vs Penang

Malaysia Malaysia

MFL Challenge Cup Likas Stadium, Kota Kinabalu
Sun, Apr 19, 2026
1 - 0
12:15 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Brundo S.
Penalty Missed
1' Event
Shah R.
(Penalty)
2' Event
Douglas Coutinho
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sabah
30%
Draws
29%
Penang
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sabah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Penang carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sabah a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Penang arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sabah, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Sabah Clean Sheet 68%
Penang Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabah Penang
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Super League
Penang vs Sabah
0:0
Apr 19, 2026 MFL Challenge Cup
Sabah vs Penang
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 MFL Challenge Cup
Penang vs Sabah
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Super League
Sabah vs Penang
3:2
Oct 25, 2024 Super League
Penang vs Sabah
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabah 95 / 100
Penang 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabah Penang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sabah scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Penang let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Sabah has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sabah VS Penang
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabah

(Home)
15 May
Sabah
0 : 1
Terengganu
09 May
DPMM
0 : 1
Sabah
02 May
Sabah
5 : 1
PDRM FC
26 Apr
Penang
0 : 0
Sabah
23 Apr
Melaka FC
1 : 0
Sabah
Page 1 of 7

Penang

(Away)
15 May
Penang
2 : 1
DPMM
08 May
PDRM FC
1 : 1
Penang
02 May
Selangor
4 : 0
Penang
26 Apr
Penang
0 : 0
Sabah
19 Apr
Sabah
1 : 0
Penang
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sabah 3
PDRM FC 1
Damansara 2
Perak 4
Kelantan Red Warrior 0
Penang 1
Star City 2
Kelantan The Real Warriors 4
Semi-finals
Sabah 1
Perak 0
Penang 6
Kelantan The Real Warriors 2
Final
Sabah 2
Penang 1