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Sabah vs Penang Prediction & H2H Stats

Malaysia Malaysia

MFL Challenge Cup Likas Stadium, Kota Kinabalu
Sun, Apr 19, 2026
1 - 0
12:15 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Brundo S.
Penalty Missed
1' Event
Shah R.
(Penalty)
2' Event
Douglas Coutinho
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sabah
20%
Draws
57%
Penang
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Penang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Penang carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sabah a 23% chance of winning this.
  • Penang arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sabah, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sabah Clean Sheet 68%
Penang Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabah Penang
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Super League
Sabah vs Penang
2:0
Apr 26, 2026 Super League
Penang vs Sabah
0:0
Apr 19, 2026 MFL Challenge Cup
Sabah vs Penang
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 MFL Challenge Cup
Penang vs Sabah
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Super League
Sabah vs Penang
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabah 50 / 100
Penang 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabah Penang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sabah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sabah scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Penang let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Sabah has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sabah VS Penang
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabah

(Home)
13 Sept
Sabah
1 : 2
DPMM
09 Sept
Selangor
2 : 1
Sabah
05 Sept
Sabah
0 : 2
Kuching City FC
02 Sept
Sabah
2 : 2
Selangor
28 Aug
Sabah
2 : 0
Penang
Page 1 of 7

Penang

(Away)
20 Sept
Penang
2 : 7
Johor DT
12 Sept
Penang
3 : 2
Kelantan Red Warrior
09 Sept
Penang
2 : 1
Melaka FC
05 Sept
Terengganu
0 : 0
Penang
02 Sept
Melaka FC
0 : 1
Penang
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sabah 3
PDRM FC 1
Damansara 2
Perak 4
Kelantan Red Warrior 0
Penang 1
Star City 2
Kelantan The Real Warriors 4
Semi-finals
Sabah 1
Perak 0
Penang 6
Kelantan The Real Warriors 2
Final
Sabah 2
Penang 1