Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sabah vs Perak

Malaysia Malaysia

MFL Challenge Cup Likas Stadium, Kota Kinabalu
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Gabriel Peres

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Sabah
15%
Draws
37%
Perak
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sabah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sabah lately — more wins on the board than Perak.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Sabah have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Perak, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sabah Clean Sheet 18%
Perak Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabah Perak
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 MFL Challenge Cup
Sabah vs Perak
1:0
Mar 4, 2026 MFL Challenge Cup
Perak vs Sabah
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 Super League
Sabah vs Perak
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 Super League
Perak vs Sabah
2:4
Dec 3, 2023 Super League
Perak vs Sabah
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sabah Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Peres
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Perak Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabah 32 / 100
Perak 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabah Perak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sabah's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Perak's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Sabah remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sabah VS Perak
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 33%
25% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabah

(Home)
15 Aug
Sabah
0 : 3
Persib Bandung
13 Aug
Bali United
1 : 2
Sabah
15 May
Sabah
0 : 1
Terengganu
09 May
DPMM
0 : 1
Sabah
02 May
Sabah
5 : 1
PDRM FC
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Perak

(Away)
11 Mar
Sabah
1 : 0
Perak
04 Mar
Perak
0 : 0
Sabah
13 Feb
Perak
3 : 2
Damansara
06 Feb
Damansara
0 : 1
Perak
25 Jan
Kuala Lumpur City
3 : 0
Perak
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sabah 3
PDRM FC 1
Damansara 2
Perak 4
Kelantan Red Warrior 0
Penang 1
Star City 2
Kelantan The Real Warriors 4
Semi-finals
Sabah 1
Perak 0
Penang 6
Kelantan The Real Warriors 2
Final
Sabah 2
Penang 1