Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sabail 2 vs Imisli FK

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Bakhshaliyev J.
Own Goal
90' Event
Qarayev T.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022/2023 game between Sabail 2 and Imisli FK finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sabail 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Sabail 2
20%
Draws
22%
Imisli FK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sabail 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sabail 2 come out ahead of Imisli FK on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Sabail 2 taking it.
  • Regular First Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sabail 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Imisli FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabail 2 Imisli FK
Matches Played 35 46
Wins 16 8
Draws 5 13
Losses 14 25
Goals Scored 1.63 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2023 I Liqa
Sabail 2 vs Imisli FK
2:0
Oct 4, 2022 I Liqa
Imisli FK vs Sabail 2
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sabail 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Qarayev T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Imisli FK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabail 2 49 / 100
Imisli FK 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabail 2 Imisli FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sabail 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sabail 2 scored in 80% of their last 35 games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Imisli FK has conceded goals in 72% of their last 46 outings.

Solid form: Sabail 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Imisli FK
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabail 2

(Home)
23 May
Mingachevir
1 : 1
Sabail 2
16 May
Sabail 2
0 : 0
MOIK Baku
08 May
Araz PFK
3 : 1
Sabail 2
04 May
Sabail 2
1 : 0
Gabala 2
24 Apr
Turan 2
0 : 2
Sabail 2
Page 1 of 7

Imisli FK

(Away)
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1
Imisli FK
11 Sept
Imisli FK
2 : 3
Neftci Baku
04 Sept
Gabala
2 : 1
Imisli FK
29 Aug
Safa Baku
0 : 1
Imisli FK
22 Aug
Zira FK
3 : 1
Imisli FK
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 28 22 3 3 69:22 69
2 Neftci Baku 2 28 18 5 5 67:32 59
3 Turan 2 28 15 3 10 49:37 48
4 Sabail 2 28 13 5 10 46:44 44
5 Gabala 2 28 12 8 8 45:28 44
6 Zaqatala PFK 28 13 5 10 49:48 44
7 Kapaz 2 28 13 4 11 41:36 43
8 MOIK Baku 28 12 7 9 43:42 43
9 Lokbatan 28 12 5 11 30:23 41
10 Shamakhi 2 28 11 4 13 40:56 37
11 Qarabag Agdam 2 28 9 4 15 32:39 31
12 Zira FK 2 28 6 10 12 28:41 28
13 SumQayit FK 2 28 6 4 18 36:60 22
14 Mingachevir 28 5 5 18 29:51 20
15 Imisli FK 28 6 2 20 21:66 20
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)