Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

I Liqa ASCO Arena

Sabail

2 - 2

MOIK Baku

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Faracov S.

64'

Voronsov R.

69'

Mammadzada M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this I Liqa matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Sabail

Draws

MOIK Baku

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sabail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Sabail have won more games recently than MOIK Baku.
Win probability leans Sabail's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Sabail Clean Sheet 68%

MOIK Baku Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sabail	MOIK Baku
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	14	10
Draws	8	7
Losses	8	14
Goals Scored	2.75	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.5	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	2.75	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 I Liqa

Sabail vs MOIK Baku

Possession: 48% - 42% Cards: 0 - 0

2:2

Feb 18, 2026 I Liqa

MOIK Baku vs Sabail

Possession: 55% - 56% Cards: 0 - 4

1:0

Nov 5, 2025 I Liqa

Sabail vs MOIK Baku

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Nov 22, 2022 Azerbaijan Cup

MOIK Baku vs Sabail

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 3 - 3

0:4

Feb 11, 2017 I Liqa

MOIK Baku vs Sabail

Possession: 47% - 58% Cards: 1 - 0

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sabail Compare

Top Goalscorer Voronsov R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Safarov Q.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.12

Avg xA / game 1.38

MOIK Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Faracov S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mammadzada M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabail 95 / 100

MOIK Baku 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sabail MOIK Baku

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAB Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MOIK Baku has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Sabail scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Sabail went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sabail VS MOIK Baku

2.75 Goals Scored 1.25

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Safa Baku	27	16	9	2	52:21	57
2	Mingachevir	27	15	6	6	55:27	51
3	Sabail	27	14	8	5	46:21	50
4	Baku Sporting	27	13	10	4	40:23	49
5	Sahdag Qusar	27	12	7	8	36:27	43
6	MOIK Baku	27	9	6	12	33:40	33
7	Zaqatala PFK	27	8	4	15	27:44	28
8	Cebrayil	27	7	3	17	40:56	24
9	Shimal	27	5	5	17	23:61	20
10	Difai Agsu	27	4	6	17	28:60	18