Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Sabail play MOIK Baku in the I Liqa. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sabail averaged 2.75 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. MOIK Baku averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Sabail won 3, MOIK Baku won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 18, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Sabail and 0.88 for MOIK Baku. This points to a Sabail double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sabail has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to MOIK Baku.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Sabail.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in I Liqa provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sabail | MOIK Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.75 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sabail Compare
MOIK Baku Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sabail scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
MOIK Baku let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Sabail went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
MOIK Baku lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Safa Baku | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 52:21 | 57 |
| 2 | Mingachevir | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 55:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Sabail | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 46:21 | 50 |
| 4 | Baku Sporting | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 40:23 | 49 |
| 5 | Sahdag Qusar | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 36:27 | 43 |
| 6 | MOIK Baku | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:40 | 33 |
| 7 | Zaqatala PFK | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 27:44 | 28 |
| 8 | Cebrayil | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 40:56 | 24 |
| 9 | Shimal | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 23:61 | 20 |
| 10 | Difai Agsu | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 28:60 | 18 |