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Sabugy vs EC de Patos

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2 2023
Sabugy Logo

Sabugy

2 - 2
FT
EC de Patos Logo

EC de Patos

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paraibano 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Sabugy
15%
Draws
64%
EC de Patos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC de Patos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to EC de Patos lately — more wins on the board than Sabugy.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on EC de Patos taking it.
  • Regular Paraibano 2 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Sabugy Clean Sheet 10%
EC de Patos Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabugy EC de Patos
Matches Played 18 31
Wins 2 14
Draws 2 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.72 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2023 Paraibano 2
Sabugy vs EC de Patos
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabugy 10 / 100
EC de Patos 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabugy EC de Patos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC de Patos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

EC de Patos has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Sabugy scored in 39% of their last 18 games.

Sabugy went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sabugy VS EC de Patos
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
3.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabugy

(Home)
21 Sept
Sabugy
3 : 1
Queimadense
17 Sept
Spartax
3 : 1
Sabugy
14 Sept
Desportiva Guarabira
2 : 0
Sabugy
11 Sept
Sabugy
2 : 3
Sao Paulo Crystal
08 Sept
Sabugy
0 : 3
Confianca PB
Page 1 of 4

EC de Patos

(Away)
22 Feb
EC de Patos
1 : 0
Campinense
13 Feb
Treze PB
3 : 1
EC de Patos
08 Feb
Confianca PB
1 : 2
EC de Patos
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Sousa
0 : 1
EC de Patos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC de Patos 9 6 2 1 18:9 20
2 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 6 1 2 21:8 19
3 Confianca PB 9 6 0 3 22:13 18
4 Pombal 9 5 1 3 12:5 16
5 Spartax 9 4 3 2 10:8 15
6 Picuiense 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
7 Desportiva Guarabira 9 4 1 4 13:17 13
8 Sport PB 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
9 Sabugy 9 1 2 6 7:12 5
10 Perilima 9 0 0 9 0:27 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2023 (Play Offs)