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Sabugy vs Perilima

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2 2023
Sun, Oct 1, 2023
3 - 0
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sabugy host Perilima in the Paraibano 2 2023. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Sabugy have averaged 0.72 scored and 2.39 conceded recently, against Perilima's 0.8 scored and 2.17 conceded. Past meetings favor Sabugy slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 1, 2023, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.88 - 1.63) back Sabugy to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sabugy
15%
Draws
0%
Perilima
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sabugy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Perilima carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Sabugy taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sabugy Clean Sheet 14%
Perilima Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabugy Perilima
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 2 3
Draws 2 8
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 0.72 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.39 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2023 Paraibano 2
Sabugy vs Perilima
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabugy 66 / 100
Perilima 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabugy Perilima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sabugy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Perilima conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Perilima's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Sabugy scored in 39% of their last 18 games.

Scoring Trends

Sabugy VS Perilima
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabugy

(Home)
21 Sept
Sabugy
3 : 1
Queimadense
17 Sept
Spartax
3 : 1
Sabugy
14 Sept
Desportiva Guarabira
2 : 0
Sabugy
11 Sept
Sabugy
2 : 3
Sao Paulo Crystal
08 Sept
Sabugy
0 : 3
Confianca PB
Page 1 of 4

Perilima

(Away)
01 Oct
Sabugy
3 : 0
Perilima
28 Sept
Perilima
0 : 3
Spartax
24 Sept
Perilima
0 : 3
Picuiense
21 Sept
Sport PB
3 : 0
Perilima
17 Sept
Perilima
0 : 3
Confianca PB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC de Patos 9 6 2 1 18:9 20
2 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 6 1 2 21:8 19
3 Confianca PB 9 6 0 3 22:13 18
4 Pombal 9 5 1 3 12:5 16
5 Spartax 9 4 3 2 10:8 15
6 Picuiense 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
7 Desportiva Guarabira 9 4 1 4 13:17 13
8 Sport PB 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
9 Sabugy 9 1 2 6 7:12 5
10 Perilima 9 0 0 9 0:27 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2023 (Play Offs)