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Sacavenense vs O Elvas CAD

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group E game between Sacavenense and O Elvas CAD finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sacavenense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sacavenense
15%
Draws
57%
O Elvas CAD
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: O Elvas CAD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sacavenense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans O Elvas CAD's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sacavenense here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Sacavenense Clean Sheet 27%
O Elvas CAD Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sacavenense O Elvas CAD
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.37 1.26
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
O Elvas CAD vs Sacavenense
2:3
Mar 27, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sacavenense vs O Elvas CAD
3:0
Feb 27, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Sacavenense vs O Elvas CAD
2:0
Oct 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
O Elvas CAD vs Sacavenense
0:0
Sep 11, 2021 Taça de Portugal
O Elvas CAD vs Sacavenense
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sacavenense 25 / 100
O Elvas CAD 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sacavenense O Elvas CAD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick O Elvas CAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sacavenense found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

O Elvas CAD has conceded goals in 62% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sacavenense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sacavenense VS O Elvas CAD
2.5 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sacavenense

(Home)
20 Sept
Sacavenense
0 : 1
SC Farense
30 Aug
Sacavenense
5 : 0
SC Angrense
21 Sept
Sacavenense
2 : 4
Leiria
07 Sept
Sacavenense
7 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
07 Sept
Santarem
2 : 0
Sacavenense
Page 1 of 6

O Elvas CAD

(Away)
27 Sept
O Elvas CAD
2 : 0
Sertanense
19 Sept
O Elvas CAD
0 : 2
Leiria
13 Sept
Fazendense
1 : 2
O Elvas CAD
06 Sept
O Elvas CAD
9 : 0
Sao Roque
23 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 1
O Elvas CAD
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Os Belenenses 18 10 3 5 25:12 33
2 Pero Pinheiro 18 9 4 5 21:19 31
3 GS Loures 18 9 3 6 29:22 30
4 Sintrense 18 6 11 1 19:12 29
5 Sacavenense 18 7 8 3 16:13 29
6 Operario 18 5 6 7 14:15 21
7 GD Coruchense 18 6 3 9 26:29 21
8 Sporting Ideal 18 4 6 8 22:25 18
9 O Elvas CAD 18 4 5 9 11:25 17
10 CD Rabo Peixe 18 3 5 10 13:24 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)