Sport Picks

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Sacramento Republic vs Austin

USA USA

USL 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Tyrpak K.

AI Match Summary

Austin in this USL 2015 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Austin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sacramento Republic
33%
Draws
27%
Austin
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sacramento Republic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Sacramento Republic have won more games recently than Austin.
  • Win probability leans Sacramento Republic's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular USL 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Sacramento Republic Clean Sheet 20%
Austin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sacramento Republic Austin
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2015 USL Championship
Austin vs Sacramento Republic
0:0
Jun 7, 2015 USL Championship
Sacramento Republic vs Austin
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sacramento Republic Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Austin Compare

Top Goalscorer Tyrpak K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sacramento Republic 40 / 100
Austin 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sacramento Republic Austin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sacramento Republic found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Austin let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Sacramento Republic remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Austin has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sacramento Republic VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC28145938:3447
2Oklahoma City Energy FC28138744:3647
3Colorado Springs281441053:3546
4Sacramento Republic28137843:3146
5Ventura County281431139:3145
6Tacoma Defiance281331245:4242
7FC Tulsa281161149:4639
8Portland Timbers 2281121538:4535
9Austin281031532:4133
10Arizona United281021631:5532
11Vancouver Whitecaps 228861439:5330
12Real Monarchs28781332:4229
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rochester New York281710140:1561
2Louisville City28146855:3448
3Charleston281210643:2846
4New York Red Bulls II281261046:4542
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds28118953:4241
6Richmond Kickers281011741:3541
7Charlotte Independence281010838:3540
8Penn Football Club281161149:5339
9St. Louis FC28891130:4033
10FC Montreal28841632:4628
11Toronto FC II28651726:5223
12Wilmington Hammerheads283101522:4219