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Sacramento Republic vs Ventura County

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Sacramento Republic and Ventura County finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sacramento Republic
44%
Draws
20%
Ventura County
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Sacramento Republic haven't matched Ventura County's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sacramento Republic Clean Sheet 14%
Ventura County Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sacramento Republic Ventura County
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 5 0
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Sacramento Republic vs Ventura County
0:0
Oct 3, 2022 USL Championship
Ventura County vs Sacramento Republic
2:0
Jun 19, 2022 USL Championship
Sacramento Republic vs Ventura County
2:0
Oct 14, 2021 USL Championship
Sacramento Republic vs Ventura County
1:1
Sep 26, 2021 USL Championship
Sacramento Republic vs Ventura County
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sacramento Republic 35 / 100
Ventura County 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sacramento Republic Ventura County

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ventura County let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Sacramento Republic found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Sacramento Republic has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sacramento Republic VS Ventura County
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%