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Safa vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Akuka I.
Assist: Farhat S.
68' Event
Hayek K.
82' Event
Camara T.
Assist: Shweikh H.

AI Match Summary

Safa in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Safa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Safa
20%
Draws
45%
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Safa have won more games recently than Al Riyadi Abbasiyah.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Safa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Safa here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Safa Clean Sheet 19%
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Safa Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.55 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Premier League
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah vs Safa
2:4
Dec 7, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2:1
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Safa Compare

Top Goalscorer Hayek K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camara T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Compare

Top Goalscorer Akuka I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Safa 42 / 100
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Safa Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Safa found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Al Riyadi Abbasiyah conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: Safa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Safa VS Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Safa

(Home)
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
28 Jun
Jwayya SC
1 : 1
Safa
24 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 1
Safa
20 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 4
Safa
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
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Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

(Away)
29 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 1
Tadamon
25 Jul
Racing
1 : 2
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
17 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
13 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
4 : 0
Racing
02 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 0
Racing
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)