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Safa vs Bourj

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Camara T.
Assist: Shweikh H.
49' Event
Mehanna H.
Assist: El Hayek M.

AI Match Summary

Safa in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Safa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Safa
6%
Draws
4%
Bourj
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Safa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bourj haven't matched Safa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Safa a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Safa Clean Sheet 68%
Bourj Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Safa Bourj
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Bourj
2:0
Feb 6, 2025 Premier League
Bourj vs Safa
0:4
Jun 24, 2024 Premier League
Bourj vs Safa
0:0
May 15, 2024 Premier League
Bourj vs Safa
1:1
Mar 8, 2024 Premier League
Bourj vs Safa
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Safa Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mehanna H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Bourj Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Safa 95 / 100
Bourj 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Safa Bourj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Safa found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Bourj conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Safa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Safa VS Bourj
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.67
38% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Safa

(Home)
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
28 Jun
Jwayya SC
1 : 1
Safa
24 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 1
Safa
20 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 4
Safa
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
Page 1 of 7

Bourj

(Away)
30 Dec
Al Ansar
4 : 1
Bourj
25 Dec
Bourj
1 : 4
Al Ahed
19 Dec
Bourj
1 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
12 Dec
Bourj
2 : 1
Racing
06 Dec
Al Sahel
1 : 0
Bourj
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ansar21172253:953
2Nejmeh SC21144342:1046
3Al Ahed21131734:2240
4Jwayya SC21115531:1438
5Safa21113730:1736
6Al Hikma2193929:2730
7Al Sahel2176822:2127
8Al-Mabarrah2157912:3622
9Al Riyadi Abbasiyah21551116:3020
10Tadamon21381012:2617
11Racing2101204:611
12Bourj113178:2010
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)