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Safa vs Bourj

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Safa Logo

Safa

2 - 0
FT
Bourj Logo

Bourj

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Camara T.
Assist: Shweikh H.
49' Event
Mehanna H.
Assist: El Hayek M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Safa in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Safa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Safa
15%
Draws
32%
Bourj
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Safa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Safa at 1.43 per game, Bourj at 1.1.
  • Model gives Safa a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Safa Clean Sheet 68%
Bourj Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Safa Bourj
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.77 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Bourj
2:0
Feb 6, 2025 Premier League
Bourj vs Safa
0:4
Jun 24, 2024 Premier League
Bourj vs Safa
0:0
May 15, 2024 Premier League
Bourj vs Safa
1:1
Mar 8, 2024 Premier League
Bourj vs Safa
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Safa Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mehanna H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.89

Bourj Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Safa 95 / 100
Bourj 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Safa Bourj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Safa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Safa found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Bourj conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Safa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Safa VS Bourj
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.67
38% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Safa

(Home)
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
28 Jun
Jwayya SC
1 : 1
Safa
24 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 1
Safa
20 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 4
Safa
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
Page 1 of 6

Bourj

(Away)
30 Dec
Al Ansar
4 : 1
Bourj
25 Dec
Bourj
1 : 4
Al Ahed
19 Dec
Bourj
1 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
12 Dec
Bourj
2 : 1
Racing
06 Dec
Al Sahel
1 : 0
Bourj
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)