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Safa vs Tadamon

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Safa Logo

Safa

2 - 0
FT
Tadamon Logo

Tadamon

Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Saleh H.
Assist: Haider H.
76' Event
Camara T.
Assist: Kdouh M. J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Safa in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Safa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Safa
20%
Draws
33%
Tadamon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Safa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Safa lately — more wins on the board than Tadamon.
  • Model gives Safa a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Safa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Safa Clean Sheet 68%
Tadamon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Safa Tadamon
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 16 6
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.55 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Premier League
Safa vs Tadamon
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
Tadamon vs Safa
1:1
Jul 2, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Tadamon
5:2
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Tadamon
3:0
Apr 18, 2025 Premier League
Tadamon vs Safa
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Safa Compare

Top Goalscorer Saleh H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camara T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Tadamon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Safa 95 / 100
Tadamon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Safa Tadamon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Safa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Safa scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Tadamon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Safa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Safa VS Tadamon
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Safa

(Home)
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
28 Jun
Jwayya SC
1 : 1
Safa
24 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 1
Safa
20 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 4
Safa
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
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Tadamon

(Away)
29 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 1
Tadamon
21 Jul
Tadamon
1 : 0
Racing
17 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
10 Jul
Racing
1 : 3
Tadamon
03 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 3
Al Ansar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)