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Sagadam vs Arkadag

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
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AI Match Summary

Arkadag in this Yokary Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arkadag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Sagadam
15%
Draws
61%
Arkadag
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arkadag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arkadag lately — more wins on the board than Sagadam.
  • Win probability leans Arkadag's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Yokary Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Arkadag have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Sagadam Clean Sheet 10%
Arkadag Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sagadam Arkadag
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 27
Draws 5 0
Losses 16 3
Goals Scored 0.9 3.2
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Arkadag
0:3
May 30, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Arkadag
1:4
Apr 21, 2026 Yokary Liga
Arkadag vs Sagadam
3:2
Nov 9, 2025 Yokary Liga
Arkadag vs Sagadam
2:0
Aug 19, 2025 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Arkadag
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sagadam 10 / 100
Arkadag 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sagadam Arkadag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arkadag Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Sagadam found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Arkadag's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Sagadam stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sagadam VS Arkadag
0.75 Goals Scored 3.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sagadam

(Home)
19 Sept
Sagadam
0 : 2
Merw
12 Sept
Altyn Asyr
2 : 0
Sagadam
05 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Ahal
30 Aug
Sagadam
0 : 3
Arkadag
22 Aug
Sagadam
3 : 2
Kopetdag Asgabat
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Arkadag

(Away)
20 Sept
Kopetdag Asgabat
0 : 1
Arkadag
15 Sept
Arkadag
1 : 0
Al-Muharraq
05 Sept
Nebitci
2 : 4
Arkadag
30 Aug
Sagadam
0 : 3
Arkadag
26 Aug
Arkadag
3 : 0
FC Asgabat
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