Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sagan Tosu vs Gainare Tottori

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Ekimae Real Estate Stadium, Tosu
Sagan Tosu Logo

Sagan Tosu

4 - 0
FT
Gainare Tottori Logo

Gainare Tottori

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Yoshino K.
Assist: Izawa R.
26' Event
Shiohama R.
Assist: Sakurai T.
38'
Tojo A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Sagan Tosu and Gainare Tottori finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sagan Tosu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Sagan Tosu
15%
Draws
64%
Gainare Tottori
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gainare Tottori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gainare Tottori come out ahead of Sagan Tosu on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sagan Tosu here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Sagan Tosu Clean Sheet 15%
Gainare Tottori Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sagan Tosu Gainare Tottori
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 17
Draws 2 1
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.64
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 J2/J3 League
Sagan Tosu vs Gainare Tottori
4:0
Mar 29, 2026 J2/J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs Sagan Tosu
0:2
Sep 4, 2011 J2 League
Gainare Tottori vs Sagan Tosu
3:6
Aug 14, 2011 J2 League
Sagan Tosu vs Gainare Tottori
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sagan Tosu Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoshino K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shiohama R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gainare Tottori Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sagan Tosu 31 / 100
Gainare Tottori 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sagan Tosu Gainare Tottori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gainare Tottori Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gainare Tottori has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Sagan Tosu's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sagan Tosu stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sagan Tosu VS Gainare Tottori
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sagan Tosu

(Home)
04 Oct
Blaublitz
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
29 Sept
Sagan Tosu
2 : 1
Verdy
26 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
2 : 0
Sagan Tosu
23 Sept
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
19 Sept
Sagan Tosu
1 : 3
Iwaki
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Gainare Tottori

(Away)
03 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1
Gainare Tottori
29 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 0
V-Varen Nagasaki
26 Sept
Kanazawa
4 : 1
Gainare Tottori
19 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 3
Nara Club
12 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 4
Gainare Tottori
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)