Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sahdag Qusar vs Bakili Baku

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2016/2017
Sahdag Qusar Logo

Sahdag Qusar

3 - 0
FT
Bakili Baku Logo

Bakili Baku

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2016/2017 game between Sahdag Qusar and Bakili Baku finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sahdag Qusar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sahdag Qusar
30%
Draws
19%
Bakili Baku
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sahdag Qusar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bakili Baku haven't matched Sahdag Qusar's recent run of results.
  • Sahdag Qusar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 20%
Bakili Baku Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sahdag Qusar Bakili Baku
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 21 4
Draws 8 3
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.55 1.2
Goals Conceded 1 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2017 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Bakili Baku
3:0
Sep 23, 2016 I Liqa
Bakili Baku vs Sahdag Qusar
3:2
Apr 30, 2016 I Liqa
Bakili Baku vs Sahdag Qusar
4:1
Dec 13, 2015 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Bakili Baku
2:1
May 1, 2015 I Liqa
Bakili Baku vs Sahdag Qusar
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sahdag Qusar 85 / 100
Bakili Baku 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sahdag Qusar Bakili Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sahdag Qusar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bakili Baku's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Sahdag Qusar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sahdag Qusar's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 42 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sahdag Qusar VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sahdag Qusar

(Home)
17 Sept
Shimal
1 : 4
Sahdag Qusar
09 Sept
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Karvan
03 Sept
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1
Baku Sporting
15 May
Sabail
0 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 9

Bakili Baku

(Away)
27 Apr
Bakili Baku
1 : 7
Sabail
21 Apr
Mingachevir
1 : 1
Bakili Baku
14 Apr
Bakili Baku
4 : 0
Goyazan Qazax
09 Apr
Lokbatan
6 : 1
Bakili Baku
30 Mar
Sahdag Qusar
3 : 0
Bakili Baku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Turan 26 18 7 1 62:11 61
2 Sabail 26 18 3 5 80:25 57
3 Agsu (Inactive) 26 16 5 5 63:21 53
4 Lokbatan 26 17 1 8 64:31 52
5 Zaqatala PFK 26 15 4 7 69:31 49
6 Shamkir 26 15 3 8 41:20 48
7 Imisli FK 26 13 5 8 53:33 44
8 MOIK Baku 26 10 6 10 47:31 36
9 Sahdag Qusar 26 8 6 12 36:45 30
10 Sharurspor 26 7 4 15 36:51 25
11 Mingachevir 26 5 5 16 25:86 20
12 Bakili Baku 26 3 2 21 30:99 11
13 Goyazan Qazax 26 2 4 20 20:99 10
14 Ravan 26 6 1 19 24:67 10
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)