Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sahdag Qusar vs Bakili Baku

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2016/2017 game between Sahdag Qusar and Bakili Baku finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sahdag Qusar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sahdag Qusar
6%
Draws
4%
Bakili Baku
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sahdag Qusar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bakili Baku haven't matched Sahdag Qusar's recent run of results.
  • Sahdag Qusar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 20%
Bakili Baku Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sahdag Qusar Bakili Baku
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 23
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2017 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Bakili Baku
3:0
Sep 23, 2016 I Liqa
Bakili Baku vs Sahdag Qusar
3:2
Apr 30, 2016 I Liqa
Bakili Baku vs Sahdag Qusar
4:1
Dec 13, 2015 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Bakili Baku
2:1
May 1, 2015 I Liqa
Bakili Baku vs Sahdag Qusar
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sahdag Qusar 85 / 100
Bakili Baku 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sahdag Qusar Bakili Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bakili Baku's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Sahdag Qusar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sahdag Qusar's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sahdag Qusar VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sahdag Qusar

(Home)
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1
Baku Sporting
15 May
Sabail
0 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
05 May
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Mingachevir
29 Apr
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 Apr
Zaqatala PFK
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 7

Bakili Baku

(Away)
27 Apr
Bakili Baku
1 : 7
Sabail
21 Apr
Mingachevir
1 : 1
Bakili Baku
14 Apr
Bakili Baku
4 : 0
Goyazan Qazax
09 Apr
Lokbatan
6 : 1
Bakili Baku
30 Mar
Sahdag Qusar
3 : 0
Bakili Baku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Turan26187162:1161
2Sabail26183580:2557
3Agsu (Inactive)26165563:2153
4Lokbatan26171864:3152
5Zaqatala PFK26154769:3149
6Shamkir26153841:2048
7Imisli FK26135853:3344
8MOIK Baku261061047:3136
9Sahdag Qusar26861236:4530
10Sharurspor26741536:5125
11Mingachevir26551625:8620
12Bakili Baku26322130:9911
13Goyazan Qazax26242020:9910
14Ravan26611924:6710
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)