Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

I Liqa

Sahdag Qusar

1 - 1

Baku Sporting

Our Tip

Match Events

30'

Tagiyev E.

47'

Aqblevor P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa game between Sahdag Qusar and Baku Sporting finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Sahdag Qusar

39%

Draws

31%

Baku Sporting

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Baku Sporting carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 3 times recently and Baku Sporting have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%

Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 68%

Baku Sporting Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sahdag Qusar	Baku Sporting
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	14
Draws	7	11
Losses	10	5
Goals Scored	1.13	1
Goals Conceded	0.25	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.25	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 I Liqa

Sahdag Qusar vs Baku Sporting

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Dec 10, 2025 I Liqa

Baku Sporting vs Sahdag Qusar

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Sep 18, 2025 I Liqa

Sahdag Qusar vs Baku Sporting

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 0 - 1

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sahdag Qusar Compare

Top Goalscorer Aqblevor P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Baku Sporting Compare

Top Goalscorer Tagiyev E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sahdag Qusar 41 / 100

Baku Sporting 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sahdag Qusar Baku Sporting

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAH Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Sahdag Qusar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sahdag Qusar found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Baku Sporting's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sahdag Qusar VS Baku Sporting

1.13 Goals Scored 1

0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88

38% Over 1.5 50%

13% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Safa Baku	27	16	9	2	52:21	57
2	Mingachevir	27	15	6	6	55:27	51
3	Sabail	27	14	8	5	46:21	50
4	Baku Sporting	27	13	10	4	40:23	49
5	Sahdag Qusar	27	12	7	8	36:27	43
6	MOIK Baku	27	9	6	12	33:40	33
7	Zaqatala PFK	27	8	4	15	27:44	28
8	Cebrayil	27	7	3	17	40:56	24
9	Shimal	27	5	5	17	23:61	20
10	Difai Agsu	27	4	6	17	28:60	18