Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sahdag Qusar vs Difai Agsu

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Chipesse A.
59' Event
Amirquliyev R.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Khalilov A.

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa 2025/2026 game between Sahdag Qusar and Difai Agsu finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sahdag Qusar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Sahdag Qusar
35%
Draws
20%
Difai Agsu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sahdag Qusar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Sahdag Qusar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sahdag Qusar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular I Liqa 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Sahdag Qusar have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 68%
Difai Agsu Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sahdag Qusar Difai Agsu
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.31 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.86 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 I Liqa
Difai Agsu vs Sahdag Qusar
0:3
Feb 6, 2026 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Difai Agsu
4:0
Oct 16, 2025 I Liqa
Difai Agsu vs Sahdag Qusar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sahdag Qusar Compare

Top Goalscorer Chipesse A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khalilov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Difai Agsu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sahdag Qusar 95 / 100
Difai Agsu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sahdag Qusar Difai Agsu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sahdag Qusar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difai Agsu let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Sahdag Qusar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Sahdag Qusar scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sahdag Qusar VS Difai Agsu
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sahdag Qusar

(Home)
09 Sept
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Karvan
03 Sept
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1
Baku Sporting
15 May
Sabail
0 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
05 May
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Mingachevir
Page 1 of 6

Difai Agsu

(Away)
21 May
MOIK Baku
4 : 0
Difai Agsu
14 May
Shimal
0 : 1
Difai Agsu
06 May
Difai Agsu
0 : 0
Safa Baku
30 Apr
Baku Sporting
1 : 1
Difai Agsu
23 Apr
Difai Agsu
0 : 4
Sabail
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Safa Baku 27 16 9 2 52:21 57
2 Mingachevir 27 15 6 6 55:27 51
3 Sabail 27 14 8 5 46:21 50
4 Baku Sporting 27 13 10 4 40:23 49
5 Sahdag Qusar 27 12 7 8 36:27 43
6 MOIK Baku 27 9 6 12 33:40 33
7 Zaqatala PFK 27 8 4 15 27:44 28
8 Gancabasar 27 7 3 17 40:56 24
9 Shimal 27 5 5 17 23:61 20
10 Difai Agsu 27 4 6 17 28:60 18
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2025/2026 (Relegation)