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Sahdag Qusar vs Gancabasar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Thu, Nov 19, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sahdag Qusar host Gancabasar in the I Liqa. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Gancabasar have shipped 1.93 goals a game lately, while Sahdag Qusar have conceded 0.83 and scored 1.66. Past meetings favor Sahdag Qusar slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 15, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 0.94, favoring Sahdag Qusar. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sahdag Qusar
15%
Draws
35%
Gancabasar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sahdag Qusar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Sahdag Qusar have won more games recently than Gancabasar.
  • Win probability leans Sahdag Qusar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 20%
Gancabasar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sahdag Qusar Gancabasar
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.66 1.64
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Gancabasar
0:0
Feb 12, 2026 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Gancabasar
4:2
Oct 23, 2025 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs Sahdag Qusar
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sahdag Qusar 85 / 100
Gancabasar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sahdag Qusar Gancabasar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sahdag Qusar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sahdag Qusar found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sahdag Qusar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Gancabasar let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sahdag Qusar VS Gancabasar
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sahdag Qusar

(Home)
07 Oct
Sahdag Qusar
6 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
17 Sept
Shimal
1 : 4
Sahdag Qusar
09 Sept
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Karvan
03 Sept
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1
Baku Sporting
Page 1 of 6

Gancabasar

(Away)
17 Sept
Mingachevir
0 : 3
Gancabasar
10 Sept
Gancabasar
2 : 1
FC Khankendi
04 Sept
Shimal
1 : 2
Gancabasar
21 May
Gancabasar
2 : 3
Shimal
15 May
Safa Baku
1 : 0
Gancabasar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sahdag Qusar 4 4 0 0 13:1 12
2 Gancabasar 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Sabail 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
4 Karvan 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
5 MOIK Baku 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
6 Zaqatala PFK 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
7 FC Khankendi 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
8 Mingachevir 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
9 Shimal 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
10 Baku Sporting 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)