Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sahdag Qusar vs Sabail

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2016/2017 game between Sahdag Qusar and Sabail finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sabail.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Sahdag Qusar
35%
Draws
27%
Sabail
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sahdag Qusar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Sahdag Qusar have managed 1.4 goals a game lately — Sabail are scoring more at 1.6.
  • Win probability leans Sahdag Qusar's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular First Division 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 18%
Sabail Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sahdag Qusar Sabail
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.4 1.6
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 I Liqa
Sabail vs Sahdag Qusar
0:0
Dec 18, 2025 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Sabail
2:2
Sep 24, 2025 I Liqa
Sabail vs Sahdag Qusar
2:0
Mar 27, 2017 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Sabail
0:4
Nov 4, 2016 I Liqa
Sabail vs Sahdag Qusar
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sahdag Qusar 76 / 100
Sabail 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sahdag Qusar Sabail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sahdag Qusar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Sahdag Qusar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sahdag Qusar found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Sabail has conceded goals in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sahdag Qusar VS Sabail
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sahdag Qusar

(Home)
17 Sept
Shimal
1 : 4
Sahdag Qusar
09 Sept
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Karvan
03 Sept
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1
Baku Sporting
15 May
Sabail
0 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 6

Sabail

(Away)
17 Sept
Baku Sporting
0 : 1
Sabail
10 Sept
Sabail
2 : 1
Mingachevir
03 Sept
FC Khankendi
1 : 1
Sabail
22 May
Mingachevir
4 : 1
Sabail
15 May
Sabail
0 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Turan 26 18 7 1 62:11 61
2 Sabail 26 18 3 5 80:25 57
3 Agsu (Inactive) 26 16 5 5 63:21 53
4 Lokbatan 26 17 1 8 64:31 52
5 Zaqatala PFK 26 15 4 7 69:31 49
6 Shamkir 26 15 3 8 41:20 48
7 Imisli FK 26 13 5 8 53:33 44
8 MOIK Baku 26 10 6 10 47:31 36
9 Sahdag Qusar 26 8 6 12 36:45 30
10 Sharurspor 26 7 4 15 36:51 25
11 Mingachevir 26 5 5 16 25:86 20
12 Bakili Baku 26 3 2 21 30:99 11
13 Goyazan Qazax 26 2 4 20 20:99 10
14 Ravan 26 6 1 19 24:67 10
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)