Sport Picks
Sahdag Qusar vs Turan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan Cup 
Match Events
4'
4'
Guseynov A.
(Penalty)
64'
64'
Souza Alex
76'
76'
Camalov F.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sahdag Qusar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Turan lately — more wins on the board than Sahdag Qusar.
- Sahdag Qusar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Turan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Turan, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 20%
Turan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sahdag Qusar | Turan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 41 | 44 |
| Wins | 22 | 28 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.98 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 2, 2025 Azerbaijan Cup
Sahdag Qusar vs Turan
1:2
Apr 21, 2017 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Turan
1:1
Nov 17, 2016 I Liqa
Turan vs Sahdag Qusar
1:0
Mar 12, 2016 I Liqa
Turan vs Sahdag Qusar
1:1
Oct 8, 2015 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Turan
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sahdag Qusar Compare
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Turan Compare
Top Goalscorer Souza Alex
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sahdag Qusar 85 / 100
Turan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sahdag Qusar Turan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sahdag Qusar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sahdag Qusar scored in 83% of their last 41 outings.
Solid form: Sahdag Qusar remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Turan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 41% of 44 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sahdag Qusar VS Turan
2 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sahdag Qusar
(Home) 07 Oct
Sahdag Qusar
6 : 0 Zaqatala PFK
17 Sept
Shimal
1 : 4 Sahdag Qusar
09 Sept
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0 Karvan
03 Sept
MOIK Baku
0 : 1 Sahdag Qusar
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1 Baku Sporting
Page 1 of 9
07 Oct
Sahdag Qusar
6 : 0 Zaqatala PFK
09 Sept
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0 Karvan
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1 Baku Sporting
05 May
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0 Mingachevir
15 Apr
Sahdag Qusar
0 : 0 Gancabasar
Page 1 of 4
Turan
(Away) 03 Oct
Turan
0 : 2 Fenerbahce
19 Sept
Turan
1 : 0 Zira FK
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2 Turan
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1 SumQayit FK
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0 Turan
Page 1 of 9
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2 Turan
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0 Turan
16 May
Shamakhi
3 : 2 Turan
04 May
Qarabag Agdam
2 : 1 Turan
21 Apr
Zira FK
0 : 0 Turan
Page 1 of 5
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Sabail 0
Shamakhi 1
Goygol 0
Baku Sporting 2
Qarabag Agdam -
TBD -
Karvan 3
Sheki City 1
Lokbatan 2
Imisli FK 3
TBD -
Sabah Baku -
Gabala 5
Mingachevir 1
Gancabasar 0
Safa Baku 3
Shimal 0
Sahdag Qusar 2
Dinamo Baki 0
Turan 5
Araz PFK -
TBD -
Kapaz 6
Agstafa Gencleri 1
FC Khankendi 1
Difai Agsu 2
Zaqatala PFK 0
SumQayit FK 3
Zira FK -
TBD -
Neftci Baku 6
MOIK Baku 2
1/8-finals
Shamakhi 1
Baku Sporting 0
Qarabag Agdam 3
Karvan 0
Imisli FK 1
Sabah Baku 2
Gabala 2
Safa Baku 1
Sahdag Qusar 1
Turan 2
Araz PFK 0
Kapaz 1
Difai Agsu 1
SumQayit FK 3
Zira FK 1
Neftci Baku 0
Quarter-finals
Shamakhi 3
Qarabag Agdam 4
Sabah Baku 4
Gabala 3
Turan 3
Kapaz 0
SumQayit FK 0
Zira FK 2
Semi-finals
Qarabag Agdam 3
Sabah Baku 4
Turan 0
Zira FK 2
Final
Sabah Baku 2
Zira FK 1
