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Saint-Denis vs Tamponnaise

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saint-Denis in this Regionale 1 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint-Denis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Saint-Denis
30%
Draws
33%
Tamponnaise
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saint-Denis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saint-Denis lately — more wins on the board than Tamponnaise.
  • Model gives Saint-Denis a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Regionale 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Saint-Denis have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Saint-Denis Clean Sheet 20%
Tamponnaise Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Denis Tamponnaise
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 12
Draws 6 11
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.09 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2025 Regionale 1
Tamponnaise vs Saint-Denis
0:1
Jun 15, 2025 Regionale 1
Saint-Denis vs Tamponnaise
4:2
Oct 13, 2024 Regionale 1
Saint-Denis vs Tamponnaise
3:0
Jun 2, 2024 Regionale 1
Tamponnaise vs Saint-Denis
2:0
Nov 19, 2023 Coupe de France
Tamponnaise vs Saint-Denis
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Denis 40 / 100
Tamponnaise 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Denis Tamponnaise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Denis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Saint-Denis's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Saint-Denis stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Tamponnaise's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Saint-Denis VS Tamponnaise
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint-Denis

(Home)
23 Nov
Piton Saint-Leu
1 : 0
Saint-Denis
09 Nov
Saint-Denis
2 : 2
Jeanne d'Arc
02 Nov
Tamponnaise
0 : 1
Saint-Denis
19 Oct
Sainte Rose
0 : 0
Saint-Denis
12 Oct
Saint-Denis
4 : 0
Trois Bassins
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Tamponnaise

(Away)
23 Nov
Jeanne d'Arc
1 : 6
Tamponnaise
09 Nov
Tamponnaise
0 : 0
Saint-Pierroise
02 Nov
Tamponnaise
0 : 1
Saint-Denis
18 Oct
Saint-Pauloise FC
2 : 1
Tamponnaise
12 Oct
Tamponnaise
2 : 0
Sainte Rose
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