Sport Picks
Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Guadeloupe
North & Central America
CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 
Match Events
12'
12'
Freeman K.
24'
24'
Archimede L.
45'
45'
Williams T.
AI Match Summary
The CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 game between Saint Kitts and Nevis and Guadeloupe finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guadeloupe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Saint Kitts and Nevis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Guadeloupe carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Saint Kitts and Nevis a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Guadeloupe have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 65.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Saint Kitts and Nevis Clean Sheet 10%
Guadeloupe Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Saint Kitts and Nevis | Guadeloupe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.13 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.13 | 1.43 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 19, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Guadeloupe vs Saint Kitts and Nevis
5:0
Sep 7, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Guadeloupe
1:2
Oct 22, 2010 Caribbean Cup
Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Guadeloupe
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Saint Kitts and Nevis Compare
Top Goalscorer Williams T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Guadeloupe Compare
Top Goalscorer Archimede L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Arconte T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Saint Kitts and Nevis 38 / 100
Guadeloupe 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Saint Kitts and Nevis Guadeloupe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.
Saint Kitts and Nevis's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Solid form: Saint Kitts and Nevis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Away concern: Guadeloupe has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Saint Kitts and Nevis VS Guadeloupe
1.88 Goals Scored 2
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.43
100% Over 1.5 57%
100% Over 2.5 57%
88% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
Saint Kitts and Nevis
(Home) 30 Mar
Saint Kitts and Nevis
4 : 2 Solomon Islands
27 Mar
Indonesia
4 : 0 Saint Kitts and Nevis
18 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
2 : 6 Belize
12 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
0 : 0 Sint Maarten
05 Oct
Saint Kitts and Nevis
2 : 1 Saint Martin
Page 1 of 6
30 Mar
Saint Kitts and Nevis
4 : 2 Solomon Islands
18 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
2 : 6 Belize
12 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
0 : 0 Sint Maarten
05 Oct
Saint Kitts and Nevis
2 : 1 Saint Martin
04 Oct
Saint Kitts and Nevis
5 : 0 Saint Martin
Page 1 of 3
Guadeloupe
(Away) 24 Jun
Guadeloupe
2 : 3 Guatemala
20 Jun
Jamaica
2 : 1 Guadeloupe
16 Jun
Panama
5 : 2 Guadeloupe
26 Mar
Nicaragua
0 : 1 Guadeloupe
22 Mar
Guadeloupe
1 : 0 Nicaragua
Page 1 of 6
20 Jun
Jamaica
2 : 1 Guadeloupe
16 Jun
Panama
5 : 2 Guadeloupe
26 Mar
Nicaragua
0 : 1 Guadeloupe
15 Nov
Cayman Islands
0 : 6 Guadeloupe
16 Oct
Martinique
0 : 0 Guadeloupe
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadeloupe | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Sint Maarten | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:15 | 6 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nicaragua | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Montserrat | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 4 | Barbados | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7:26 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | French Guiana | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 2 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13:14 | 9 |
| 3 | Bermuda | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 4 | Belize | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | 7 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guyana | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Puerto Rico | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 22:10 | 12 |
| 3 | Antigua and Barbuda | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:22 | 4 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7:21 | 1 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League (League C)