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Saint Lucia U20 vs Bermuda U20

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Richard A.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Championship U20 2018 game between Saint Lucia U20 and Bermuda U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint Lucia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Saint Lucia U20
30%
Draws
47%
Bermuda U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bermuda U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Saint Lucia U20's 1.42 goals per match outpaces what Bermuda U20 have produced (1.4).
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Saint Lucia U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Bermuda U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Lucia U20 Bermuda U20
Matches Played 12 20
Wins 5 5
Draws 2 5
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.42 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2018 CONCACAF Championship U20
Saint Lucia U20 vs Bermuda U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Lucia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Richard A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Bermuda U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Lucia U20 35 / 100
Bermuda U20 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Lucia U20 Bermuda U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bermuda U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bermuda U20 conceded in 80% of 20 recent games.

Saint Lucia U20 scored in 58% of their last 12 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Saint Lucia U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Saint Lucia U20 VS Bermuda U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint Lucia U20

(Home)
03 Mar
British Virgin Islands U20
2 : 1
Saint Lucia U20
01 Mar
Saint Lucia U20
0 : 5
Dominican Republic U20
27 Feb
Saint Lucia U20
3 : 0
Dominica U20
23 Feb
Antigua and Barbuda U20
1 : 0
Saint Lucia U20
13 Nov
Dominican Republic U20
2 : 2
Saint Lucia U20
Page 1 of 3

Bermuda U20

(Away)
04 Mar
Barbados U20
0 : 2
Bermuda U20
02 Mar
Bermuda U20
3 : 3
Costa Rica U20
28 Feb
Bermuda U20
2 : 0
Sint Maarten U20
24 Feb
Trinidad & Tobago U20
2 : 2
Bermuda U20
28 Feb
Jamaica U20
3 : 2
Bermuda U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U20 5 5 0 0 39:2 15
2 Suriname U20 5 3 0 2 18:12 9
3 Puerto Rico U20 5 3 0 2 16:15 9
4 Trinidad & Tobago U20 5 3 0 2 12:11 9
5 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U20 5 1 0 4 8:15 3
6 United States Virgin Islands U20 5 0 0 5 2:40 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2018 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U20 5 4 1 0 31:2 13
2 Jamaica U20 5 4 1 0 24:3 13
3 Grenada U20 5 2 0 3 7:14 6
4 Nicaragua U20 5 2 0 3 4:13 6
5 Aruba U20 5 1 1 3 6:20 4
6 Saint Martin U20 5 0 1 4 3:23 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2018 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras U20 5 5 0 0 30:5 15
2 Cuba U20 5 4 0 1 19:5 12
3 Dominican Republic U20 5 3 0 2 23:10 9
4 Antigua and Barbuda U20 5 2 0 3 10:11 6
5 Belize U20 5 1 0 4 5:19 3
6 Sint Maarten U20 5 0 0 5 4:41 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2018 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama U20 5 5 0 0 17:3 15
2 Canada U20 5 3 0 2 10:6 9
3 Guadeloupe U20 5 3 0 2 9:8 9
4 Dominica U20 5 2 0 3 5:14 6
5 Saint Kitts and Nevis U20 5 1 0 4 7:10 3
6 Martinique U20 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2018 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica U20 4 4 0 0 14:0 12
2 Haiti U20 4 3 0 1 9:1 9
3 Saint Lucia U20 4 2 0 2 3:8 6
4 Barbados U20 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
5 Bermuda U20 4 0 1 3 0:10 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2018 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador U20 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
2 Guatemala U20 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
3 Curacao U20 4 2 0 2 10:10 6
4 Cayman Islands U20 4 1 1 2 8:11 4
5 Guyana U20 4 1 0 3 7:11 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2018 (Promotion)