Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saint Lucia W vs Mexico W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship Women Daren Sammy Cricket Ground, Gros Islet
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Bernal R.
Assist: Soto A.
26' Event
Corral V.
52' Event
Marquis E.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Mexico W in this CONCACAF Championship Women matchup, with the score ending 0-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mexico W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Saint Lucia W
15%
Draws
85%
Mexico W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mexico W lately — more wins on the board than Saint Lucia W.
  • Model gives Mexico W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CONCACAF Championship Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Saint Lucia W Clean Sheet 10%
Mexico W Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Lucia W Mexico W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 22
Draws 2 4
Losses 19 2
Goals Scored 1.59 3.11
Goals Conceded 3.79 0.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 CONCACAF Championship Women
Saint Lucia W vs Mexico W
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Lucia W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Mexico W Compare

Top Goalscorer Corral V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bernal R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Lucia W 10 / 100
Mexico W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Lucia W Mexico W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Saint Lucia W's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Mexico W let in goals in 25% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Saint Lucia W VS Mexico W
0.25 Goals Scored 5.25
4.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint Lucia W

(Home)
18 Apr
Saint Lucia W
0 : 1
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W
02 Mar
Saint Lucia W
0 : 7
Mexico W
01 Dec
Puerto Rico W
7 : 0
Saint Lucia W
27 Nov
United States Virgin Islands W
3 : 1
Saint Lucia W
21 Sept
Saint Lucia W
1 : 2
Barbados W
Page 1 of 6

Mexico W

(Away)
07 Aug
Colombia W
1 : 2
Mexico W
05 Aug
Mexico W
4 : 1
El Salvador W
02 Aug
Jamaica W
0 : 7
Mexico W
31 Jul
Colombia W
0 : 1
Mexico W
29 Jul
Mexico W
0 : 0
Puerto Rico W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico W 4 4 0 0 36:0 12
2 Puerto Rico W 4 3 0 1 26:6 9
3 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W 4 2 0 2 2:24 6
4 United States Virgin Islands W 4 1 0 3 3:20 3
5 Saint Lucia W 4 0 0 4 1:18 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamaica W 4 4 0 0 27:2 12
2 Nicaragua W 4 3 0 1 23:4 9
3 Guyana W 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
4 Antigua and Barbuda W 4 0 1 3 1:13 1
5 Dominica W 4 0 1 3 1:36 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica W 4 4 0 0 34:1 12
2 Guatemala W 4 3 0 1 23:4 9
3 Bermuda W 4 2 0 2 10:15 6
4 Grenada W 4 1 0 3 7:14 3
5 Cayman Islands W 4 0 0 4 1:41 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti W 4 3 1 0 17:1 10
2 Dominican Republic W 4 2 2 0 17:4 8
3 Belize W 4 2 0 2 5:15 6
4 Suriname W 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
5 Anguilla W 4 0 0 4 1:18 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama W 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Cuba W 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
3 Aruba W 4 2 0 2 9:6 6
4 Curacao W 4 1 0 3 4:16 3
5 Saint Kitts and Nevis W 4 0 1 3 4:9 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador W 3 3 0 0 18:0 9
2 Trinidad & Tobago W 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
3 Honduras W 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
4 Barbados W 3 0 0 3 0:22 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)