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Saint-Malo vs Les Herbiers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group B
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saint-Malo host Les Herbiers in the National 1 - Group B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Saint-Malo at 1.45 goals for, 0.97 against; Les Herbiers at 1.42 for, 1.32 against. Past meetings favor Saint-Malo slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 27, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Les Herbiers. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Saint-Malo
30%
Draws
37%
Les Herbiers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Les Herbiers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saint-Malo lately — more wins on the board than Les Herbiers.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Saint-Malo Clean Sheet 20%
Les Herbiers Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Malo Les Herbiers
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 12
Draws 11 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.42
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Les Herbiers vs Saint-Malo
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Saint-Malo vs Les Herbiers
0:0
Feb 7, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Saint-Malo vs Les Herbiers
2:3
Sep 6, 2024 National 1 - Group B
Les Herbiers vs Saint-Malo
0:2
May 2, 2015 National 2 - Group D
Les Herbiers vs Saint-Malo
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Malo 32 / 100
Les Herbiers 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Malo Les Herbiers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Les Herbiers let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Saint-Malo's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Saint-Malo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Saint-Malo VS Les Herbiers
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint-Malo

(Home)
31 Oct
Saint-Malo
1 : 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
17 Oct
Lorient II
3 : 1
Saint-Malo
03 Oct
Saint-Malo
2 : 1
Saumur Olympique
19 Sept
Granville
1 : 0
Saint-Malo
13 Sept
Saint-Malo
1 : 0
St. Colomban Locmine
Page 1 of 7

Les Herbiers

(Away)
30 Oct
Le Poire Sur Vie
1 : 1
Les Herbiers
17 Oct
Les Herbiers
0 : 0
Pontivy
02 Oct
Bayonne
0 : 1
Les Herbiers
19 Sept
Les Herbiers
0 : 1
Tarbes
11 Sept
Chauray
1 : 2
Les Herbiers
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 9 7 2 0 14:5 23
2 Avranches 8 5 2 1 13:3 17
3 Bayonne 8 5 1 2 11:8 16
4 Lorient II 8 4 1 3 13:7 13
5 Granville 8 3 3 2 10:10 12
6 Dinan 8 3 3 2 7:7 12
7 Tarbes 8 3 3 2 5:5 12
8 Saint-Malo 9 3 3 3 10:8 12
9 St. Colomban Locmine 8 3 2 3 7:6 11
10 Stade Briochin 8 2 4 2 9:8 10
11 Le Poire Sur Vie 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
12 Les Herbiers 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
13 Saumur Olympique 8 2 1 5 6:12 7
14 Pontivy 8 0 5 3 7:12 5
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 8 0 5 3 5:12 5
16 Chauray 8 0 1 7 5:16 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)