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Saint-Malo W vs Montpellier W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women Stade de Marville, Paris - La Courneuve
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Tchakounte A.
7' Event
Rucker M.
24'
Sub
Kharafi B. In: Kadzere R.
Out: Kharafi B.

AI Match Summary

Saint-Malo W in this Premiere Ligue Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint-Malo W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Saint-Malo W
20%
Draws
36%
Montpellier W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saint-Malo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saint-Malo W lately — more wins on the board than Montpellier W.
  • Win probability leans Saint-Malo W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Premiere Ligue Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Saint-Malo W Clean Sheet 20%
Montpellier W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Malo W Montpellier W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.35 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Saint-Malo W vs Montpellier W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint-Malo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rucker M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Montpellier W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Malo W 42 / 100
Montpellier W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Malo W Montpellier W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montpellier W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Saint-Malo W found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Solid form: Saint-Malo W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Saint-Malo W VS Montpellier W
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint-Malo W

(Home)
03 Oct
Le Havre W
2 : 0
Saint-Malo W
19 Sept
Saint-Malo W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
12 Sept
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Montpellier W
05 Sept
Strasbourg W
3 : 2
Saint-Malo W
29 Aug
Saint-Malo W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
Page 1 of 7

Montpellier W

(Away)
03 Oct
Nantes W
1 : 1
Montpellier W
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0
Marseille W
12 Sept
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Montpellier W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1
Toulouse W
29 Aug
Montpellier W
0 : 3
Marseille W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 4 4 0 0 27:3 12
2 PSG W 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
3 Paris FC W 4 3 0 1 9:8 9
4 Marseille W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Le Havre W 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
6 Montpellier W 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
7 Strasbourg W 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Fleury 91 W 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
9 Saint-Malo W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
10 Nantes W 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
11 Lens W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
12 Toulouse W 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)