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Saint-Pauloise FC vs Marsouins

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

The Regionale 1 game between Saint-Pauloise FC and Marsouins finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint-Pauloise FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Saint-Pauloise FC
6%
Draws
4%
Marsouins
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Saint-Pauloise FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Saint-Pauloise FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Marsouins.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Saint-Pauloise FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Regionale 1 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Saint-Pauloise FC Clean Sheet 20%
Marsouins Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Pauloise FC Marsouins
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 4
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2025 Regionale 1
Saint-Pauloise FC vs Marsouins
4:0
Mar 23, 2025 Regionale 1
Marsouins vs Saint-Pauloise FC
1:0
Nov 11, 2022 Regionale 1
Marsouins vs Saint-Pauloise FC
0:2
Jul 10, 2022 Regionale 1
Saint-Pauloise FC vs Marsouins
0:0
Dec 6, 2020 Regionale 1
Marsouins vs Saint-Pauloise FC
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Pauloise FC 85 / 100
Marsouins 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Pauloise FC Marsouins

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint-Pauloise FC scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Marsouins let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Saint-Pauloise FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Marsouins lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saint-Pauloise FC VS Marsouins
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%