Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saint Priest vs Toulon

France France

National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 Stade Jacques Joly, Saint-Priest
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Diallo A.
23' Event
Benhmida M.
44' Event
Benhmida M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Saint Priest
35%
Draws
53%
Toulon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Toulon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Toulon lately — more wins on the board than Saint Priest.
  • Model gives Toulon a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Saint Priest Clean Sheet 14%
Toulon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Priest Toulon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Saint Priest vs Toulon
2:2
Jan 17, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Toulon vs Saint Priest
1:2
Feb 15, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Toulon vs Saint Priest
4:2
Sep 14, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Saint Priest vs Toulon
1:2
Apr 29, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Saint Priest vs Toulon
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Priest Compare

Top Goalscorer Benhmida M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Toulon Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Priest 11 / 100
Toulon 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Priest Toulon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toulon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toulon let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Saint Priest's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Saint Priest remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Saint Priest VS Toulon
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint Priest

(Home)
18 Jul
Monaco
5 : 2
Saint Priest
16 May
Hyeres
4 : 1
Saint Priest
09 May
Saint Priest
2 : 2
Toulon
02 May
Saint Priest
2 : 3
St. Maur Lusitanos
25 Apr
Frejus Saint Raphael
0 : 0
Saint Priest
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Toulon

(Away)
31 Jul
Toulon
1 : 1
Aubagne FC
16 May
Toulon
0 : 0
FC Bobigny 93
09 May
Saint Priest
2 : 2
Toulon
02 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
0 : 1
Toulon
25 Apr
Toulon
2 : 1
Rumilly Vallieres
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cannes 30 17 9 4 53:30 60
2 Nimes 30 18 5 7 46:25 59
3 St. Maur Lusitanos 30 15 10 5 40:24 55
4 Rumilly Vallieres 30 13 8 9 49:36 47
5 Hyeres 30 11 12 7 36:27 45
6 Andrezieux 30 12 9 9 48:33 45
7 Istres 30 11 10 9 42:32 43
8 Creteil 30 12 7 11 36:34 43
9 GOAL FC 30 11 8 11 38:46 40
10 RC Grasse 30 9 9 12 41:42 36
11 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 9 8 13 37:50 35
12 Limonest 30 9 7 14 36:49 34
13 FC Bobigny 93 30 7 11 12 29:31 32
14 Toulon 30 8 10 12 38:47 31
15 Saint Priest 30 7 9 14 35:50 30
16 Rousset Ste Victoire 30 2 6 22 28:76 12
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)