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Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Anguilla

World World

World Championship 2026 Arnos Vale Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines play Anguilla in the World Championship 2026. Saint Vincent and the Grenadines are favorites here. Recently, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Anguilla averaged 0.73 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. In past meetings, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines won 3, Anguilla won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 4, 2025 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.81 for Saint Vincent and the Grenadines and 0.81 for Anguilla. This points to a Saint Vincent and the Grenadines double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
15%
Draws
22%
Anguilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Saint Vincent and the Grenadines picked up more points recently compared to Anguilla.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.81 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Clean Sheet 26%
Anguilla Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Anguilla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.97 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2025 World Championship
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Anguilla
6:0
Sep 5, 2014 Caribbean Cup
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Anguilla
4:0
Sep 17, 2008 Caribbean Cup
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Anguilla
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Joseph M. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Anguilla Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 62 / 100
Anguilla 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Anguilla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Win (1)
Secondary Pick Saint Vincent and the Grenadines & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines attacking → ← attacking Anguilla

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Anguilla let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Anguilla lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 23
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Honduras440012:212
2Bermuda42119:87
3Cuba42026:56
4Cayman Islands41031:93
5Antigua and Barbuda40131:51
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Costa Rica440017:112
2Trinidad & Tobago421116:77
3Grenada421111:77
4Saint Kitts and Nevis41035:133
5Bahamas40041:220
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Curacao440015:212
2Haiti430111:79
3Saint Lucia41125:94
4Aruba40223:102
5Barbados40134:101
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Panama440010:112
2Nicaragua43019:49
3Guyana42026:46
4Montserrat41033:103
5Belize40041:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jamaica44008:212
2Guatemala430113:59
3Dominican Republic420211:56
4Dominica41035:143
5British Virgin Islands40040:110
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Suriname431010:210
2El Salvador42207:28
3Puerto Rico421110:27
4Saint Vincent and the Grenadines41039:93
5Anguilla40040:210