Sport Picks

World

Friendly International 2015

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

2 - 1

Antigua and Barbuda

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines play Antigua and Barbuda in the Friendly International 2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines averaged 1.89 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Antigua and Barbuda averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. In past meetings, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines won 2, Antigua and Barbuda won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 4, 2015 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.70 for Saint Vincent and the Grenadines and 0.60 for Antigua and Barbuda. This points to a Saint Vincent and the Grenadines double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

18%

Draws

27%

Antigua and Barbuda

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines picked up more points recently compared to Antigua and Barbuda.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.70 vs 0.60 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 66%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Clean Sheet 29%

Antigua and Barbuda Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines	Antigua and Barbuda
Matches Played	35	30
Wins	15	6
Draws	6	5
Losses	14	19
Goals Scored	1.89	0.8
Goals Conceded	1.57	2.37
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	0.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2015 Friendly International

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Antigua and Barbuda

Possession: 49% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Sep 7, 2014 Caribbean Cup

Antigua and Barbuda vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 1 - 4

2:1

Apr 1, 2012 Friendly International

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Antigua and Barbuda

Possession: 44% - 54% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Mar 30, 2012 Friendly International

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Antigua and Barbuda

Possession: 46% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Aug 28, 2011 Friendly International

Antigua and Barbuda vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Possession: 52% - 43% Cards: 0 - 1

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 55 / 100

Antigua and Barbuda 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Antigua and Barbuda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Win (1)

Secondary Pick Saint Vincent and the Grenadines & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.1%

2.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.2%

1.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines attacking → ← attacking Antigua and Barbuda

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines scored in 91% of their last 35 games.

Antigua and Barbuda let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Antigua and Barbuda lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 23

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.20

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.40